NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	96		Excitement	6.7 [472]		MVP	Devin Harris (NJN): +38.1%
New Jersey Nets	103		Comeback	4.5 [68]		LVP	Jarvis Hayes (NJN): -9.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	20	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	7	45%	0.03	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Jason Maxiell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	1	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.09
Allen Iverson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.01,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	0.06	-0.08	0.03	12	65%	0.08	4	-0.13	13	85%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	15	47%	0.02	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38	0.38	0.25	0.16	0.04	15	70%	0.41	1	-0.03	24	83%	0.08
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.05	0.03	12	72%	0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	11	52%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Ager	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	20	41%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.0	27.5	15.0	33.7	1.8	34.5	140.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +14.2%

NJN +12.4%

NJN +8.1%

NJN +12.3%

NJN +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	15.5	105.5	113.2	106.4
season	16.9	16.0		104.9	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.7		108.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.5	17.0	16.4	16.2	16.0
NJN	14.9	16.5	17.1	14.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	15	16	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-9	11	15.3	16.1	-0.84	14.5	15.9	-1.43
Rodney Stuckey	45	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-14	21	14.9	17.0	-2.18	15.6	15.7	-0.10
Walter Herrmann	30	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-5	3	16.6	15.7	0.89	17.9	14.7	3.25
Kwame Brown	27	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-6	5	16.1	15.9	0.15	17.0	15.2	1.87
Jason Maxiell	26	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	1	-9	17.5	15.4	2.15	17.1	15.2	1.93
Rasheed Wallace	72	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-9	11	15.3	18.4	-3.04	15.1	17.9	-2.82
Amir Johnson	33	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	0	-7	17.6	15.0	2.57	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Richard Hamilton	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-6	5	15.2	18.5	-3.28	15.4	16.7	-1.32
Allen Iverson	71	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	0	-7	15.9	16.2	-0.36	14.8	19.4	-4.62
Tayshaun Prince	67	66	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.11	-20	13	-33	16.7	13.8	2.90	16.3	14.2	2.10

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	65	64	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.17	23	-16	39	16.4	13.9	2.52	16.5	14.6	1.90
Devin Harris	73	74	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.22	17	-10	27	15.1	18.1	-3.03	16.4	14.0	2.42
Vince Carter	65	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-11	29	16.6	13.5	3.11	16.8	13.8	3.08
Bobby Simmons	58	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-7	21	16.6	14.1	2.45	16.7	14.7	2.04
Jarvis Hayes	45	45	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.36	-2	9	-11	14.1	17.2	-3.06	14.9	17.0	-2.04
Yi Jianlian	43	44	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	5	-3	16.5	15.0	1.49	16.3	15.7	0.59
Eduardo Najera	41	40	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	5	-3	14.1	17.0	-2.93	15.8	16.1	-0.34
Maurice Ager	8	8	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	14	-21	17.6	15.5	2.13	12.5	16.3	-3.80
Keyon Dooling	33	31	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.21	-17	24	-41	15.5	15.8	-0.31	13.6	17.2	-3.52
Brook Lopez	24	26	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.09	-15	22	-37	14.9	16.0	-1.10	14.8	16.4	-1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, SEA 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	93.5%
NYK 88, CLE 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,1,1	93.5%
MIA 84, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.91,0.97,1	93.0%