NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	102		Excitement	6.1 [590]		MVP	Richie Frahm (SEA): +19.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	108		Comeback	5.0 [543]		LVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): -14.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Santiago	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Redd	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.06	-0.01	22	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.05	10	77%	0.06	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	35%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	2	20%	-0.04	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	13	47%	-0.01	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	19	45%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.05	-0.01	11	77%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	18	55%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.03	10	77%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	59%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	64%	0.09	4	-0.12	2	100%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	61%	0.00	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	50.2	0.8	26.1	14.7	25.7	1.8	32.3	151.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +52.2%

MIL -1.4%

MIL -6.6%

SEA +12.6%

MIL -6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	SEA	NBA	MIL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.3	14.1	15.7	105.2	109.1	100.5
season	15.3	15.6		103.6	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.4	18.3	15.4	14.2	15.3
SEA	14.8	13.0	13.4	15.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Santiago	40	41	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.19	7	-13	20	15.0	15.5	-0.53	15.0	13.5	1.43
Erick Strickland	15	15	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-5	4	18.2	14.8	3.44	15.1	13.9	1.13
Desmond Mason	82	84	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-5	-1	-4	15.4	14.5	0.89	14.3	13.2	1.07
T.J. Ford	79	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-6	6	15.3	15.2	0.15	13.5	16.4	-2.93
Dan Gadzuric	53	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	0	-6	15.0	15.6	-0.55	13.7	14.6	-0.81
Michael Redd	82	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	-1	-4	14.8	18.2	-3.44	13.9	15.1	-1.13
Tim Thomas	81	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	2	-10	14.9	17.4	-2.50	14.1	14.4	-0.31
Damon Jones	53	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	6	-18	16.2	14.2	1.90	14.5	13.6	0.94

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	64	63	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.47	2	4	-2	14.0	14.3	-0.27	14.5	16.7	-2.23
Ronald Murray	59	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	-2	10	14.8	13.0	1.82	15.3	15.3	-0.07
Luke Ridnour	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	2	2	14.8	13.4	1.43	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Reggie Evans	46	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	1	4	15.7	12.8	2.88	15.7	14.9	0.83
Richie Frahm	49	47	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	-8	22	13.0	15.2	-2.12	16.0	14.6	1.34
Brent Barry	44	43	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	1	4	12.8	15.2	-2.37	15.9	14.8	1.15
Vladimir Radmanovic	62	60	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	5	-4	14.1	14.1	0.05	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Jerome James	37	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	3	0	12.8	14.9	-2.12	15.6	15.1	0.45
Calvin Booth	29	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.25	-5	11	-16	15.7	13.4	2.28	13.9	15.9	-1.94
Rashard Lewis	53	52	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	13	-20	13.5	14.8	-1.29	16.1	14.4	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	93.5%
NYK 88, CLE 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,1,1	92.7%
NYK 104, ATL 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.76,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	92.6%