NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	89		Excitement	7.5 [332]		MVP	Adam Morrison (CHA): +19.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	92		Comeback	3.4 [412]		LVP	David West (NOH): -21.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.11	0.00	6	85%	0.23	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.09,0.17	0.10	0.10	0.04	16	62%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1	-0.03	0.13	0.00	7	50%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Devin Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	11	43%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.09,-0.1	0.04	-0.14	-0.00	13	65%	0.17	4	-0.27	5	60%	-0.02
David West	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	0.00	12	37%	-0.08	3	-0.13	6	83%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.03	0.16	-0.01	9	50%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.02	9	87%	0.27	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.06
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.13	0.00	8	55%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	5	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.09	-0.01	5	50%	0.12	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.06
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.02	14	54%	0.13	3	-0.10	9	89%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	41%	0.01	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	31.1	14.7	24.7	2.7	31.6	134.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH -13.5%

CHA +37.3%

NOH -0.2%

CHA +23.5%

CHA +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CHA	NBA	NOH	CHA	NBA
this game	16.2	16.8	15.5	101.1	105.7	106.4
season	16.6	16.5		105.9	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.6		104.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.8	16.4	14.9	14.8	16.2
CHA	15.5	16.4	17.9	17.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	35	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-6	9	16.3	16.1	0.21	17.4	16.4	1.07
Mike James	15	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	2	-7	18.2	15.7	2.46	15.7	17.0	-1.31
Hilton Armstrong	31	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	1	-5	17.3	15.6	1.70	15.0	17.7	-2.74
Rasual Butler	32	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-1	-1	16.3	16.1	0.29	16.6	16.8	-0.18
Devin Brown	11	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	1	-5	16.7	16.1	0.65	17.3	16.7	0.67
David West	73	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-3	3	16.3	15.7	0.59	17.3	14.4	2.84
Tyson Chandler	57	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-4	5	15.6	17.3	-1.70	17.7	15.0	2.74
Chris Paul	73	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-5	7	15.7	18.2	-2.46	17.0	15.7	1.31
James Posey	53	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.35	-6	3	-9	16.1	16.3	-0.21	16.4	17.4	-1.07
Peja Stojakovic	60	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.54	0	-3	3	15.8	16.9	-1.02	16.1	18.1	-2.05

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Morrison	26	26	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-13	29	18.0	16.2	1.83	16.9	15.8	1.08
Emeka Okafor	71	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.54	0	3	-3	17.3	14.6	2.69	16.3	15.7	0.58
Matt Carroll	49	48	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-10	23	17.1	16.3	0.83	16.6	15.6	1.03
D.J. Augustin	37	37	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	-3	9	17.7	16.0	1.69	15.9	16.3	-0.41
Jared Dudley	30	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	6	-9	17.0	16.6	0.42	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Nazr Mohammed	11	9	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	-4	11	13.6	17.2	-3.57	19.2	15.8	3.41
Alexis Ajinca	6	6	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	-1	5	13.2	17.0	-3.86	19.3	15.9	3.41
Gerald Wallace	67	69	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.47	-11	14	-25	17.4	14.6	2.74	15.8	17.6	-1.81
Raymond Felton	52	54	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	6	-9	16.2	17.5	-1.26	15.9	16.6	-0.70
Jason Richardson	57	60	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.20	-11	14	-25	15.9	18.3	-2.40	15.6	17.3	-1.70
Andre Brown	29	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	6	-9	15.3	17.5	-2.22	16.3	16.1	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.82,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.61,0.84,0.94,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.62,0.72,0.84,1,1	91.4%
BKN 103, MIL 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.99,1	91.4%
POR 81, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.39,0.71,0.9,0.96,1	91.3%