NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	102		Excitement	8.0 [270]		MVP	Darren Collison (SAC): +17.9%
Chicago Bulls	109		Comeback	3.7 [526]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -23.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.06	0.04	10	83%	0.23	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.01	0.01	11	78%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.04	10	43%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Quincy Acy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	13	54%	0.08	6	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.16	-0.02	14	54%	0.09	8	-0.32	7	100%	0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	11	73%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.08	0.02	15	56%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	13	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	10	41%	0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	0.03
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.06
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	30.1	14.8	24.8	1.8	33.2	130.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +3.6%

SAC -2.2%

CHI +0.3%

CHI +46.6%

CHI +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	14.1	15.1	14.9	103.0	111.2	105.1
season	13.9	14.8		104.8	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.6		105.1	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.4	14.2	12.0	16.5	14.1
CHI	14.4	14.1	15.3	17.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	22	23	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.11	7	-14	21	14.9	13.9	0.94	16.9	14.6	2.30
Omri Casspi	49	48	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.07	11	-18	29	12.7	15.6	-2.93	15.1	15.1	0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	11	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.00	-3	-4	1	14.3	14.1	0.16	14.0	15.2	-1.24
Quincy Acy	22	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-4	1	14.5	14.0	0.42	15.0	15.2	-0.20
Caron Butler	42	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-4	1	13.8	14.4	-0.64	16.3	14.3	2.03
Darren Collison	67	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-12	17	14.0	14.5	-0.50	15.2	14.9	0.26
Marco Belinelli	43	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-4	1	14.9	13.6	1.29	15.6	14.7	0.88
James Anderson	32	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	5	-17	14.5	14.0	0.50	14.9	15.2	-0.26
Rajon Rondo	66	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	2	-11	13.8	14.8	-0.94	14.6	16.2	-1.69
Rudy Gay	67	65	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.29	-14	7	-21	14.9	12.5	2.36	14.8	15.7	-0.88
DeMarcus Cousins	74	73	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.43	-11	4	-15	14.1	14.1	0.07	14.6	16.7	-2.16

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	50	48	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.44	15	-8	23	15.5	14.7	0.71	14.6	13.7	0.92
Derrick Rose	66	67	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.34	18	-11	29	14.7	15.9	-1.13	14.9	12.6	2.32
Taj Gibson	68	69	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.49	12	-5	17	14.5	16.6	-2.14	14.5	13.3	1.19
Jimmy Butler	70	71	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.36	16	-9	25	14.9	15.5	-0.59	14.8	12.4	2.37
Mike Dunleavy	55	55	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.33	16	-9	25	14.6	15.8	-1.17	14.5	13.7	0.81
Nikola Mirotic	44	47	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.08	-6	13	-19	14.3	15.8	-1.52	13.4	14.7	-1.30
Doug McDermott	43	44	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.04	-9	16	-25	15.8	14.6	1.17	13.7	14.5	-0.81
Bobby Portis	30	30	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.19	-5	12	-17	16.6	14.5	2.14	13.3	14.5	-1.19
Aaron Brooks	32	32	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.05	-11	18	-29	15.9	14.7	1.13	12.6	14.9	-2.32
Justin Holiday	32	32	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.14	-11	18	-29	16.1	14.6	1.46	12.9	14.7	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.62,0.72,0.84,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.87,0.95,1	93.1%
WAS 80, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.53,0.68,0.85,0.95,0.98,1	92.7%
BKN 103, MIL 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.94,0.99,1	91.7%