NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	80		Excitement	6.3 [519]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +24.1%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	2.8 [723]		LVP	Jahidi White (WAS): -19.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09	0.14	-0.05	-0.01	20	67%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Courtney Alexander	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	17	58%	0.11	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Popeye Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	1	75%	0.04	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Nesby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	7	67%	0.11	5	-0.20	4	100%	0.03
Laron Profit	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
David Vanterpool	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.19	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.06	-0.03	7	33%	-0.05	5	-0.15	4	0%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.08	0.02	14	79%	0.24	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	9	95%	0.22	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.02	11	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	8	50%	-0.03	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	0.04	6	42%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	10	41%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	26.3	19.4	24.4	2.5	30.6	128.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +31.3%

WAS -15.1%

NYK +3.4%

NYK +26.2%

NYK +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.5	89.9	109.4	100.9
season	15.2	16.4		98.6	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.2		96.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	17.6	15.1	17.4	16.2
NYK	16.8	16.6	21.6	13.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Vanterpool	26	24	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.14	-2	-11	9	17.0	15.9	1.11	14.7	17.8	-3.06
Christian Laettner	61	61	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.11	-1	-12	11	16.4	15.8	0.57	17.5	15.4	2.08
Jahidi White	60	59	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-14	15	15.4	17.8	-2.34	18.0	14.3	3.69
Tyrone Nesby	10	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-5	-3	22.0	15.5	6.52	15.5	17.1	-1.59
Popeye Jones	13	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-3	-7	18.7	15.8	2.90	15.1	17.2	-2.12
Richard Hamilton	81	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-6	-1	15.7	21.9	-6.22	17.1	15.4	1.69
Courtney Alexander	87	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-2	-9	16.1	22.5	-6.43	16.9	16.0	0.93
Laron Profit	64	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	0	-13	15.7	17.6	-1.87	17.8	14.7	3.06
Michael Smith	43	38	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.32	-14	1	-15	16.6	15.9	0.71	14.8	18.6	-3.83

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	63	67	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.27	14	-1	15	17.7	14.6	3.12	16.0	16.9	-0.92
Charlie Ward	46	49	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-6	25	14.7	19.5	-4.72	16.9	15.3	1.57
Glen Rice	51	53	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-5	23	14.7	20.2	-5.50	16.3	16.1	0.27
Marcus Camby	66	68	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	0	13	17.2	15.8	1.44	15.8	17.5	-1.71
Kurt Thomas	56	57	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-2	17	15.6	19.4	-3.81	16.1	16.5	-0.45
Larry Johnson	37	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	17	-21	19.3	15.0	4.28	16.7	15.8	0.93
Othella Harrington	11	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	13	-13	13.5	17.4	-3.96	18.7	15.8	2.84
Mark Jackson	39	40	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	19	-25	19.5	14.7	4.72	15.3	16.9	-1.57
Latrell Sprewell	56	59	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	17	-21	18.0	14.8	3.21	16.2	16.3	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.53,0.68,0.85,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.87,0.95,1	93.5%
SAC 102, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.62,0.72,0.84,1,1	92.7%
DET 86, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.68,0.46,0.62,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.54,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	92.2%