NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	2.2 [1266]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +8.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	125		Comeback	1.2 [1257]		LVP	Shelden Williams (SAC): -6.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.00	-0.05	11	58%	0.08	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Quincy Douby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	61%	0.04	4	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00
Bobby Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	54%	0.04	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
John Salmons	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	8	56%	-0.02	4	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	-0.08	13	57%	0.11	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	14	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.16	0.00	0.10	6	94%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.04	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	40%	0.01	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.12	0.00	0.12	4	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.12	0.00	0.12	5	120%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	5	77%	0.01	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	3	56%	0.03	4	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	29.3	15.4	30.4	2.4	25.3	132.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +21.3%

PHI +4.2%

PHI +7.4%

PHI +14.8%

PHI +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.5	95.8	133.0	106.4
season	15.0	15.5		104.0	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.1		105.5	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.2	12.6	14.2	17.0	15.1
PHI	14.1	16.4	14.6	16.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Brown	38	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.27	-10	-24	14	15.8	14.6	1.13	15.8	15.1	0.77
Quincy Douby	38	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.27	-12	-22	10	15.9	14.5	1.39	15.1	15.6	-0.54
Shelden Williams	51	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.32	-17	-17	0	15.6	14.5	1.17	15.4	15.4	0.02
Spencer Hawes	66	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.34	-18	-16	-2	15.1	15.0	0.07	15.8	14.4	1.37
Beno Udrih	39	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.10	-10	-24	14	14.4	15.6	-1.23	15.8	15.1	0.75
Bobby Jackson	18	17	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-20	6	15.2	15.1	0.17	13.4	15.8	-2.49
Mikki Moore	36	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.18	-17	-17	0	15.0	15.2	-0.18	15.3	15.4	-0.13
Jason Thompson	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.31	-24	-10	-14	14.2	16.9	-2.70	14.6	17.0	-2.35
John Salmons	62	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.22	-21	-13	-8	14.6	16.1	-1.50	15.3	15.5	-0.15
Kevin Martin	64	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.35	-27	-7	-20	15.6	14.0	1.56	16.0	14.2	1.88

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	60	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.20	21	13	8	15.7	14.9	0.75	14.4	16.4	-1.95
Elton Brand	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	16	2	15.4	15.4	0.01	14.7	15.7	-0.97
Andre Iguodala	44	47	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.22	21	13	8	15.1	15.7	-0.57	15.6	14.6	0.97
Andre Miller	45	46	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	21	-8	15.0	15.7	-0.67	15.7	14.5	1.19
Samuel Dalembert	42	43	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.13	14	20	-6	15.5	15.3	0.15	16.0	14.3	1.72
Willie Green	33	32	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.29	18	16	2	15.3	15.5	-0.19	15.6	14.8	0.72
Marreese Speights	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.41	20	14	6	15.5	15.3	0.18	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Lou Williams	57	57	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.33	16	18	-2	15.9	14.6	1.23	14.3	16.3	-1.96
Reggie Evans	26	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.25	13	21	-8	15.2	15.5	-0.28	16.1	14.7	1.40
Kareem Rush	26	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.29	10	24	-14	15.1	15.5	-0.44	16.8	14.5	2.34
Royal Ivey	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	31	-28	15.2	15.4	-0.19	13.7	15.4	-1.68
Donyell Marshall	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	31	-28	15.2	15.4	-0.19	13.7	15.4	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, SAC 122	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
TOR 88, OKC 108	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
ATL 92, ORL 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%