NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	2.8 [1165]		MVP	Mike Miller (ORL): +11.3%
Orlando Magic	114		Comeback	1.2 [1177]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -9.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	14	58%	-0.00	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	60%	0.02	3	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	43%	-0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	12	41%	-0.03	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Hanno Mottola	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	-0.06	8	32%	-0.03	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	11	58%	-0.01	6	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	-0.01	-0.10	19	56%	0.12	3	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.02	0.06	15	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	82%	0.02	2	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.12	0.00	-0.11	9	50%	0.04	6	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	5	36%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	15	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.16	0.00	-0.10	8	6%	-0.05	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.5	31.4	16.5	28.4	2.3	29.6	137.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +31.2%

ORL +2.4%

ORL +9.4%

ORL +7.7%

ATL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.1	15.5	94.8	116.3	100.9
season	15.4	14.6		96.0	101.6
opponent	15.8	15.1		100.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	15.8	13.7	13.9	14.4
ORL	14.0	13.6	15.7	17.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	19	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-29	36	12.8	14.8	-2.02	16.3	14.9	1.42
Larry Robinson	8	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	-16	10	12.9	14.6	-1.68	14.3	15.2	-0.87
Hanno Mottola	38	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-22	22	14.7	14.3	0.40	16.6	14.2	2.44
Anthony Johnson	31	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.30	-16	-6	-10	13.4	14.9	-1.51	12.4	16.4	-3.99
DerMarr Johnson	43	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-15	8	13.8	14.9	-1.16	16.1	14.3	1.76
Dikembe Mutombo	42	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-14	6	15.7	13.5	2.21	14.8	15.4	-0.56
Lorenzen Wright	43	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.47	-25	3	-28	13.5	15.2	-1.70	14.0	16.0	-2.01
Chris Crawford	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.25	-19	-3	-16	14.6	14.2	0.39	13.8	17.4	-3.62
Alan Henderson	52	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.16	-18	-4	-14	14.6	14.2	0.40	14.8	15.5	-0.67
Matt Maloney	68	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-13	4	14.6	13.9	0.78	16.3	12.5	3.73
Jason Terry	80	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-13	4	15.0	11.6	3.35	15.8	12.0	3.83

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	69	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	4	14	15.1	15.1	-0.02	15.7	11.4	4.23
Bo Outlaw	80	80	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	3	16	16.1	10.9	5.19	14.5	13.8	0.79
Mike Miller	56	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	4	14	15.4	14.7	0.71	15.3	13.1	2.19
John Amaechi	47	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	15	-8	16.8	13.6	3.20	16.4	12.5	3.95
Pat Garrity	68	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	14	-6	14.6	16.2	-1.60	13.5	16.4	-2.93
Michael Doleac	40	39	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.08	13	9	4	14.7	15.4	-0.71	15.9	13.4	2.53
Monty Williams	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	23	-24	15.5	14.9	0.52	13.4	15.0	-1.58
Troy Hudson	42	42	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.10	8	14	-6	14.3	15.7	-1.38	12.6	15.8	-3.20
Andrew DeClercq	37	36	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.20	9	13	-4	13.8	15.9	-2.15	11.8	15.9	-4.10
Don Reid	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	14	-6	13.7	15.3	-1.58	13.0	14.6	-1.56
Elliot Perry	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	9.2	15.5	-6.34	9.4	14.7	-5.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, SAC 122	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
PHX 97, CHI 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
SAC 91, PHI 125	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%