inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 88 Excitement2.3 [1274] MVPThabo Sefolosha (OKC): +8.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 108 Comeback1.2 [1201] LVPAndrea Bargnani (TOR): -5.6%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ed Davis0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00455%0.0300.00367%0.00
Terrence Ross0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.05771%0.0110.0000%0.00
Aaron Gray0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02175%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Jose Calderon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.05747%0.023-0.023100%0.01
Jonas Valanciunas-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.10-0.000.11882%0.043-0.056100%0.00
Dominic McGuire-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.02475%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Alan Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04621%-0.0200.00250%-0.00
John Lucas III-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.130.00-0.08917%-0.042-0.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.041033%-0.032-0.024100%0.01
Landry Fields-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01621%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Kyle Lowry-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.000.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.060,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.00-0.010.051452%-0.012-0.043100%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.000.01692%0.101-0.0100%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.120.000.08989%0.062-0.021100%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.031259%0.041-0.01887%0.02
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.082100%0.021-0.026100%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02960%0.044-0.04786%0.00
DeAndre Liggins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.070.00-0.0630%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.031154%0.034-0.036100%0.02
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02325%-0.0100.0020%-0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.00-0.06941%-0.013-0.02475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.035.615.027.22.429.3136.4
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +37.9%
OKC +3.2%
OKC +4.3%
OKC +2.7%
OKC +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTOROKCNBATOROKCNBA
this game15.413.115.487.1106.9104.1
season16.114.8104.4109.3
opponent15.515.3100.6105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.915.715.014.015.4
OKC13.712.012.314.813.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Ross3131-0.00-0.500.49-0.217-273412.416.7-4.2714.512.51.94
Aaron Gray1615-0.01-0.490.490.11-4-161215.715.30.4413.413.10.31
John Lucas III3334-0.04-0.460.43-0.154-242812.616.7-4.1614.812.32.50
Ed Davis4345-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-202014.116.3-2.1913.313.00.31
Amir Johnson1618-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-4-161216.615.21.4112.813.2-0.37
Jose Calderon4040-0.13-0.370.230.10-8-12416.014.91.1212.513.5-0.97
Alan Anderson3838-0.18-0.320.150.09-9-11215.615.30.2813.013.2-0.22
Dominic McGuire2930-0.21-0.290.09-0.09-4-161215.015.5-0.5314.412.61.75
Landry Fields4443-0.28-0.22-0.050.05-11-9-215.915.00.9012.513.6-1.13
Kyle Lowry3635-0.28-0.22-0.070.10-13-7-616.914.62.3112.213.6-1.39
Jonas Valanciunas6968-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.07-9-11214.916.4-1.4612.913.6-0.69
Andrea Bargnani5451-0.43-0.07-0.360.21-222-2416.114.51.6612.913.4-0.56
DeMar DeRozan5657-0.44-0.06-0.380.35-277-3417.213.04.2112.713.7-0.92

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant60610.410.090.33-0.2623-32612.314.4-2.0716.513.72.73
Russell Westbrook60620.380.120.26-0.2421-12212.014.8-2.7616.813.23.58
Thabo Sefolosha52540.340.160.17-0.131641212.314.0-1.7116.514.12.34
Kendrick Perkins47470.300.200.09-0.11146812.214.0-1.8116.014.81.25
Serge Ibaka49500.280.220.07-0.13146812.314.0-1.7016.114.61.47
Kevin Martin47450.280.220.06-0.07128412.913.3-0.4215.415.4-0.04
Hasheem Thabeet47480.200.30-0.09-0.03812-413.412.90.5815.315.5-0.20
Perry Jones40380.110.39-0.270.14-121-2214.412.32.0513.316.6-3.35
Nick Collison27270.100.40-0.30-0.02416-1214.112.81.3815.015.5-0.46
Eric Maynor42410.090.41-0.310.18-323-2614.812.02.7813.616.6-2.97
Reggie Jackson14140.000.50-0.500.09-323-2615.412.82.5812.015.9-3.92
DeAndre Liggins760.000.50-0.500.06-222-2417.612.84.7611.015.7-4.65
Jeremy Lamb13120.000.50-0.500.09-323-2616.112.73.3712.215.8-3.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 91, PHI 1250.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
CLE 74, MIA 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
NOP 107, DEN 1370.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%