NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	118		Excitement	3.1 [1160]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +15.9%
Toronto Raptors	111		Comeback	1.2 [810]		LVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): -9.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	0.00	0.02	13	86%	0.19	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
David West	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.00	0.03	21	64%	0.15	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	55%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	15	61%	0.10	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.14	-0.00	0.08	9	89%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mike James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	16	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	13	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.13	0.00	0.09	7	93%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	13	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	71%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	59%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	29.1	19.3	21.9	2.0	28.0	128.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +43.7%

TOR -2.4%

NOH +6.2%

TOR -0.0%

NOH +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	TOR	NBA	NOH	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.4	128.3	124.7	105.7
season	15.9	15.6		109.6	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		105.6	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.8	15.2	15.0	19.1	15.9
TOR	15.2	14.8	17.0	16.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	80	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-6	19	15.7	17.1	-1.36	16.2	14.0	2.16
David West	81	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-7	21	15.9	16.2	-0.32	15.8	16.9	-1.13
Morris Peterson	47	45	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	-13	33	16.1	15.7	0.37	15.5	16.3	-0.83
Tyson Chandler	78	76	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	2	3	16.3	13.4	2.92	16.2	14.4	1.80
Chris Paul	69	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-9	25	15.4	17.4	-1.99	15.4	17.5	-2.16
Julian Wright	21	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	13	-19	15.9	15.9	-0.06	15.4	16.1	-0.61
Jannero Pargo	30	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.36	-10	17	-27	16.6	15.6	0.99	17.3	15.3	2.01
Bonzi Wells	33	33	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.32	-9	16	-25	15.7	16.0	-0.32	17.0	15.3	1.67
Chris Andersen	11	10	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	5	-3	12.6	16.3	-3.71	15.9	15.9	-0.02
Mike James	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	17	-27	19.1	15.5	3.59	11.8	16.4	-4.61

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linton Johnson	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.36	12	-19	31	15.4	16.0	-0.58	17.9	15.6	2.31
Kris Humphries	26	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.31	9	-16	25	17.5	15.3	2.23	17.5	15.2	2.29
Jamario Moon	43	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-17	27	15.2	16.6	-1.38	15.8	16.0	-0.24
Andrea Bargnani	33	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-7	7	17.3	15.1	2.24	14.6	16.6	-1.96
Jose Calderon	54	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.49	13	-20	33	15.7	16.2	-0.46	16.0	15.7	0.28
Carlos Delfino	54	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.57	15	-22	37	15.7	16.3	-0.55	16.5	15.0	1.55
Anthony Parker	35	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.28	-22	15	-37	16.3	15.7	0.55	15.0	16.5	-1.55
Chris Bosh	55	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	6	-19	15.3	17.0	-1.70	15.6	16.4	-0.85
Jason Kapono	29	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.26	-22	15	-37	16.6	15.6	0.99	15.7	16.0	-0.24
T.J. Ford	47	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	10	-27	15.7	16.1	-0.42	16.1	15.7	0.39
Rasho Nesterovic	55	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	13	-33	15.7	16.4	-0.70	15.6	16.4	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 115, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
HOU 97, LAL 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
DET 105, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%