NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	3.0 [1157]		MVP	Carlos Rogers (HOU): +6.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	81		Comeback	1.2 [526]		LVP	Glen Rice (LAL): -10.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Rogers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	100%	0.10	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	6	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	12	50%	0.06	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Thomas Hamilton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Steve Francis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	11	73%	0.08	6	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	7	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.C. Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	8	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
John Salley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	41%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	12	34%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	28.6	16.6	28.3	2.6	29.8	132.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +53.2%

HOU +1.9%

LAL -6.6%

HOU +0.5%

HOU +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.2	103.2	88.0	101.7
season	15.4	15.3		102.4	105.6
opponent	15.1	14.6		98.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.3	13.7	15.7	18.4	15.0
LAL	17.7	18.4	15.6	12.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakeem Olajuwon	62	61	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.23	23	-7	30	14.2	16.6	-2.32	17.1	13.7	3.37
Shandon Anderson	71	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.08	16	0	16	14.5	16.6	-2.09	16.3	14.7	1.60
Walt Williams	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	3	10	15.0	15.1	-0.07	16.7	15.1	1.51
Steve Francis	66	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	4	8	14.5	16.2	-1.63	16.2	15.2	1.08
Cuttino Mobley	58	55	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	9	-2	14.8	15.4	-0.58	15.3	16.8	-1.49
Tony Massenburg	44	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	13	-10	14.7	15.3	-0.66	14.6	17.0	-2.40
Carlos Rogers	51	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	8	0	16.1	13.7	2.37	14.8	17.2	-2.37
Bryce Drew	36	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	12	-8	17.1	13.8	3.28	14.7	16.6	-1.95
Kelvin Cato	26	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	17	-18	14.5	15.2	-0.74	18.4	14.9	3.43
Thomas Hamilton	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	17.0	15.0	2.01	13.5	16.0	-2.50
Kenny Thomas	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	20.8	14.7	6.09	10.6	16.3	-5.65

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	25	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-14	12	16.4	15.8	0.62	15.8	14.7	1.07
Brian Shaw	50	52	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-24	32	13.7	18.6	-4.96	17.2	12.4	4.84
Travis Knight	17	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-21	26	13.6	16.5	-2.82	15.2	15.0	0.17
Devean George	26	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-21	26	12.3	17.4	-5.07	16.8	14.3	2.50
John Salley	37	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-16	16	16.2	15.8	0.45	15.8	14.5	1.24
Tyronn Lue	51	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-19	22	15.1	17.0	-1.95	15.8	13.9	1.88
Rick Fox	42	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-1	-14	14.4	17.3	-2.88	14.3	15.7	-1.34
Ron Harper	36	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.21	-18	2	-20	18.2	14.5	3.74	12.8	16.4	-3.65
A.C. Green	65	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	2	-20	17.6	11.9	5.79	14.3	16.7	-2.45
Glen Rice	64	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.20	-23	7	-30	17.0	13.5	3.46	14.7	15.7	-0.93
Derek Fisher	47	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.25	-25	9	-34	17.6	14.3	3.29	13.4	16.6	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, SAS 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
LAC 101, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
UTA 104, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.2%