NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	114		Excitement	7.0 [386]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): +30.6%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	11.6 [70]		LVP	Roger Mason Jr. (WAS): -8.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.01	11	80%	0.31	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16	0.10	0.10	0.04	8	81%	0.22	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	17	61%	0.19	3	-0.12	7	71%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	58%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	-0.08	0.07	-0.00	17	44%	0.09	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.12
Andray Blatche	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.09,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	9	39%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	11	69%	0.19	1	-0.02	14	86%	0.04
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	80%	0.22	4	-0.16	4	75%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	22	55%	0.12	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.05
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.02	8	81%	0.11	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	11	38%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	28.1	15.4	30.4	2.6	33.3	137.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +25.0%

SAC -3.7%

WAS +14.6%

WAS +10.5%

WAS +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAC	NBA	WAS	SAC	NBA
this game	15.6	12.9	15.4	112.9	106.9	105.7
season	16.1	14.9		106.8	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.0	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.8	14.7	17.6	14.6	15.6
SAC	13.5	12.0	14.4	12.0	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	75	77	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.29	17	-11	28	15.5	15.9	-0.46	13.8	10.2	3.57
Antawn Jamison	90	90	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-4	14	15.6	15.7	-0.16	13.0	12.5	0.53
Caron Butler	90	91	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-5	16	15.7	14.4	1.37	13.0	12.3	0.70
Darius Songaila	41	42	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-6	18	15.0	16.0	-0.94	12.7	13.1	-0.33
Roger Mason Jr.	35	36	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	4	-2	15.3	15.8	-0.50	11.8	13.5	-1.71
Brendan Haywood	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	6	-6	17.0	14.6	2.38	13.1	12.8	0.24
Antonio Daniels	79	77	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	8	-10	15.7	15.1	0.57	12.8	13.2	-0.42
Dominic McGuire	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	7	-8	16.2	15.6	0.65	14.6	12.8	1.76
Nick Young	24	23	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.00	-6	12	-18	15.0	15.8	-0.71	11.9	13.2	-1.32
Andray Blatche	23	21	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.12	-13	19	-32	14.4	15.9	-1.54	12.3	13.1	-0.75

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	11	11	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-13	20	13.4	12.9	0.49	14.2	15.8	-1.57
Mikki Moore	28	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-7	8	12.9	12.9	-0.00	16.8	15.1	1.78
Kevin Martin	78	77	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.20	4	-10	14	12.8	13.3	-0.48	15.6	15.6	0.00
Shelden Williams	14	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-5	4	14.4	12.7	1.74	17.4	15.3	2.07
Francisco Garcia	63	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-11	16	12.1	14.2	-2.09	14.8	16.9	-2.15
Quincy Douby	5	5	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	2	-10	20.0	12.6	7.44	12.6	15.7	-3.14
Anthony Johnson	57	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	5	-16	13.2	12.5	0.68	16.6	14.2	2.35
Brad Miller	82	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	1	-8	12.7	14.1	-1.45	15.7	15.1	0.65
John Salmons	74	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.34	-9	3	-12	13.0	12.9	0.11	15.2	16.6	-1.37
Metta World Peace	93	92	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.31	-11	5	-16	12.9	12.9	0.06	15.4	17.9	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.03,0.07,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 95, ORL 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.28,0.03,0,0	93.0%
CHI 115, NYK 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.09,0	91.6%
BOS 111, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	91.6%