NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	10.2 [53]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +64.8%
Detroit Pistons	110		Comeback	11.2 [122]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -12.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.33,0.48,0.38	0.16	0.21	-0.00	14	77%	0.48	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.07
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.32	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.12,0.2,0.09,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32	0.13	0.20	0.01	18	63%	0.36	2	-0.04	16	94%	0.16
Grant Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	56%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.09
Gordan Giricek	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	11	48%	0.07	3	-0.10	3	67%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.07	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.65,0.65	0.65	0.13	0.51	-0.01	18	62%	0.76	2	-0.11	16	94%	0.18
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.08	-0.01	12	50%	0.12	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.2,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.22,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.07	-0.13	0.04	21	55%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	12	42%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.2	3.3	27.5	17.4	23.5	2.5	34.3	2.5	15.8	154.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -25.5%

DET +11.9%

DET +20.5%

DET +29.8%

DET +13.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DET	NBA	PHX	DET	NBA
this game	15.3	16.6	15.4	106.1	110.0	105.7
season	13.8	16.8		111.1	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.6		101.3	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	14.6	15.0	14.8	16.4	17.2	15.3
DET	14.8	15.0	19.5	17.9	16.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	66	66	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.11	6	-11	17	16.2	13.7	2.47	17.6	14.7	2.93
Boris Diaw	39	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	0	-5	13.1	16.8	-3.66	14.0	18.5	-4.42
Steve Nash	72	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-4	3	15.4	15.3	0.06	18.0	12.8	5.19
Grant Hill	73	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-6	7	16.5	12.0	4.53	16.8	16.1	0.70
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-4	3	15.5	14.8	0.78	17.5	13.9	3.59
Leandro Barbosa	61	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	2	-9	13.7	18.0	-4.31	15.7	18.1	-2.45
Raja Bell	61	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-2	-1	16.1	14.2	1.88	16.4	16.9	-0.52
Gordan Giricek	39	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	5	-15	14.5	15.9	-1.37	14.9	17.6	-2.72

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	54	55	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-2	9	18.5	14.4	4.07	16.6	13.8	2.83
Rasheed Wallace	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	-1	7	17.8	13.9	3.92	15.6	14.8	0.78
Chauncey Billups	83	82	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	5	-5	17.1	14.2	2.86	15.5	14.6	0.84
Lindsey Hunter	20	20	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	0	5	14.1	17.2	-3.08	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Theo Ratliff	29	28	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	6	-7	13.9	17.7	-3.82	14.7	15.6	-0.93
Jarvis Hayes	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	6	-7	13.9	17.9	-4.02	15.0	15.5	-0.45
Rodney Stuckey	48	47	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	3	-1	16.5	16.7	-0.29	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Amir Johnson	24	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	6	-7	15.3	17.0	-1.68	14.0	15.7	-1.67
Jason Maxiell	23	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	6	-7	13.4	17.6	-4.18	13.7	15.8	-2.15
Arron Afflalo	41	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	7	-9	17.1	16.3	0.87	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Tayshaun Prince	60	58	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.16	1	4	-3	18.1	14.3	3.85	15.2	15.6	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.6,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.74,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.33,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 107, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.42,1	88.1%
NOH 91, NJN 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.71,0.78,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.15,0.04,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.67,0.73,1	87.9%
CHH 90, CHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.73,1	87.6%