NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	91		Excitement	9.4 [107]		MVP	George Lynch (NOH): +23.0%
New Jersey Nets	94		Comeback	26.5 [68]		LVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): -32.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.23	0.04	0.20	0.01	12	58%	0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Junior Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Alex Garcia	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	13	35%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.14	-0.02	15	56%	-0.01	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03
Matt Freije	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	13	37%	-0.12	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00
David Wesley	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29	-0.10	-0.18	0.01	9	37%	-0.22	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.33	-0.07	-0.26	0.00	11	50%	-0.12	3	-0.20	6	100%	0.06

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.16	-0.00	4	92%	0.24	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.01	11	73%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Kaniel Dickens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	53%	0.06	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.06
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	46%	0.02	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	11	36%	-0.08	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.06,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	0.04	-0.28	0.01	17	71%	0.11	6	-0.36	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.0	2.0	25.2	15.5	24.9	1.8	33.3	1.5	14.5	141.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +77.5%

NOH -1.6%

NJN +25.5%

NOH -59.0%

NJN +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	NJN	NBA	NOH	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	16.9	15.5	94.8	96.9	104.0
season	16.5	16.0		97.7	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		101.6	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	16.0	15.6	16.0	16.5	16.8	16.1
NJN	17.5	13.8	19.2	18.6	14.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	48	50	0.48	-0.98	1.47	0.25	8	-11	19	15.1	17.1	-1.94	16.5	17.2	-0.65
Alex Garcia	38	41	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-7	11	17.8	14.9	2.89	16.0	17.5	-1.48
Junior Harrington	41	38	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.15	-2	-1	-1	14.6	17.2	-2.63	18.5	15.8	2.75
Dan Dickau	49	50	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.43	15	-18	33	14.8	17.4	-2.61	17.6	16.0	1.62
George Lynch	82	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	3	-9	16.4	14.4	1.95	16.5	18.9	-2.34
Matt Freije	78	79	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.69	-2	-1	-1	16.3	15.2	1.07	17.3	14.8	2.48
P.J. Brown	80	79	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.55	-9	6	-15	16.2	15.6	0.56	16.9	16.4	0.50
David Wesley	64	65	-1.20	0.70	-1.90	-0.53	-23	20	-43	17.0	14.3	2.72	15.8	19.0	-3.15

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	76	73	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.45	13	-10	23	16.3	19.0	-2.68	17.3	12.3	4.98
Jason Collins	76	75	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.36	16	-13	29	16.4	18.7	-2.31	17.0	12.8	4.20
Jason Kidd	52	50	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-5	13	15.6	18.3	-2.63	17.0	15.1	1.97
Travis Best	55	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	5	-7	17.7	15.8	1.93	15.3	17.1	-1.75
Richard Jefferson	55	56	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	-2	7	17.8	15.6	2.18	17.0	14.8	2.26
Brian Scalabrine	68	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-8	19	17.1	16.4	0.68	16.8	14.6	2.22
Jacque Vaughn	31	29	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	-5	13	15.4	17.5	-2.11	15.8	16.2	-0.48
Aaron Williams	9	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	8	-13	16.7	16.9	-0.21	12.0	16.6	-4.57
Rodney Buford	20	20	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.15	-12	15	-27	18.8	16.3	2.51	14.1	16.6	-2.46
Kaniel Dickens	15	17	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.04	-13	16	-29	17.0	16.8	0.17	11.1	17.2	-6.12
Nenad Krstic	28	29	-0.59	1.09	-1.68	-0.18	-14	17	-31	18.2	16.3	1.91	13.1	17.4	-4.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.71,0.78,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.15,0.04,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.67,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 91, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.45,0.33,0.45,0.22,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.76,0.84,1	88.7%
TOR 90, LAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.26,0.22,0.06,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.99,1	88.6%
PHX 105, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.6,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.74,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.33,0.74,1	87.9%