NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	90		Excitement	9.6 [81]		MVP	Jerome Kersey (LAL): +5.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	21.9 [76]		LVP	Walt Williams (TOR): -51.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Respert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	4	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	18	48%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.04
Clifford Rozier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	2	67%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sharone Wright	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	7	55%	-0.00	2	-0.12	8	50%	-0.08
Doug Christie	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	11	46%	-0.06	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.02	-0.14	-0.00	21	54%	-0.02	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02
Walt Williams	-0.52	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.45,-0.52,-0.52	-0.22	-0.30	-0.00	12	15%	-0.33	3	-0.19	3	0%	-0.07

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	58%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	9	45%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	64%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	17	57%	0.25	4	-0.21	8	75%	0.02
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	11	35%	0.03	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	4	10%	-0.17	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.02	-0.18	0.02	20	50%	-0.22	0	0.00	14	79%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	30.2	1.7	32.1	16.7	22.1	2.8	39.0	1.8	17.9	164.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +1.7%

LAL +35.8%

TOR -20.8%

LAL +37.0%

TOR -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	17.1	14.8	15.6	89.1	100.0	104.4
season	16.1	15.3		102.2	105.8
opponent	15.7	15.0		101.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	16.0	17.0	19.9	16.8	15.8	17.1
LAL	12.2	14.3	16.1	16.7	15.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	41	40	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.09	8	-16	24	16.5	17.6	-1.10	14.1	15.3	-1.16
Reggie Slater	13	13	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-10	12	16.0	17.3	-1.31	14.2	14.9	-0.73
Oliver Miller	9	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-8	8	19.1	16.9	2.17	13.2	14.9	-1.72
Shawn Respert	22	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-10	12	14.4	17.9	-3.55	13.3	15.2	-1.91
Sharone Wright	47	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-11	14	17.2	17.1	0.18	15.4	14.2	1.22
Clifford Rozier	36	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	3	-14	18.6	16.3	2.29	14.9	14.7	0.20
Damon Stoudamire	94	91	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-5	2	17.2	15.9	1.38	14.8	14.6	0.23
Doug Christie	85	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	0	-8	17.4	15.9	1.43	15.1	13.4	1.69
Marcus Camby	73	70	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.15	-18	10	-28	17.1	17.2	-0.15	15.0	14.1	0.90
Walt Williams	85	83	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.28	-15	7	-22	17.2	17.0	0.16	14.8	14.5	0.38

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	91	94	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-8	24	14.7	16.3	-1.62	17.0	19.6	-2.61
Jerome Kersey	54	54	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.27	12	-4	16	14.3	15.3	-1.01	17.3	17.0	0.34
Byron Scott	28	29	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	5	-2	14.6	14.9	-0.25	17.2	17.1	0.14
Elden Campbell	77	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-3	14	15.1	13.6	1.48	18.0	14.4	3.63
Nick Van Exel	76	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	0	8	14.7	15.1	-0.39	17.1	17.2	-0.04
Derek Fisher	22	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	8	-8	15.1	14.7	0.39	17.2	17.1	0.04
Sean Rooks	21	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	11	-14	13.6	15.1	-1.48	14.4	18.0	-3.63
Corie Blount	59	63	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.18	4	4	0	15.0	14.5	0.54	17.0	17.3	-0.33
Kobe Bryant	39	42	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	12	-16	15.8	14.1	1.63	16.8	17.4	-0.60
Travis Knight	23	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	15	-22	14.3	14.9	-0.63	18.5	16.8	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.26,0.22,0.06,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 98, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.77,0.98,1	88.8%
GSW 89, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.96,1	88.7%
NOH 91, NJN 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.71,0.78,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.15,0.04,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.67,0.73,1	88.6%