NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	6.0 [590]		MVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): +24.9%
New Jersey Nets	104		Comeback	1.0 [544]		LVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): -11.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.05	0.11	0.00	10	60%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14	0.10	0.01	-0.02	23	61%	0.29	6	-0.16	23	70%	-0.00
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.10	-0.09	0.04	11	73%	0.06	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	3	62%	0.04	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	41%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	10	41%	-0.02	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.08	0.01	11	81%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.2	0.20	0.02	0.14	-0.04	14	66%	0.28	5	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.00	-0.00	11	80%	0.19	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Josh Boone	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.00	7	72%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	19	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.03
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	8%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	32.5	15.0	31.0	1.8	40.0	149.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +31.7%

CLE -1.7%

CLE -9.2%

NJN +28.7%

NJN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.4	104.2	109.5	105.7
season	16.4	15.4		104.0	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	14.7	18.5	13.8	15.4
NJN	14.4	16.6	14.2	14.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Jones	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-7	9	14.4	15.6	-1.20	10.8	15.4	-4.58
Wally Szczerbiak	62	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.37	11	-16	27	14.7	16.8	-2.09	15.2	14.4	0.81
Damon Jones	54	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.44	13	-18	31	16.7	13.7	3.06	14.7	15.1	-0.44
Devin Brown	75	74	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.62	18	-23	41	15.2	16.1	-0.92	15.4	13.1	2.25
Sasha Pavlovic	20	22	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.27	-23	18	-41	16.1	15.2	0.92	12.6	15.6	-3.00
Delonte West	41	41	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.16	-21	16	-37	13.7	16.7	-3.06	15.1	14.7	0.44
Joe Smith	56	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	6	-17	16.0	14.6	1.45	15.0	14.7	0.26
Anderson Varejao	66	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	5	-15	15.9	14.4	1.45	15.3	14.1	1.18
LeBron James	90	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	15.4	16.6	-1.24	15.0	13.2	1.72

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	73	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-10	25	15.3	13.6	1.70	15.1	16.4	-1.28
Vince Carter	83	84	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-5	15	14.3	19.2	-4.98	15.0	18.3	-3.23
Richard Jefferson	83	84	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-4	13	15.2	13.0	2.17	15.4	15.6	-0.24
Nenad Krstic	43	43	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	-7	19	15.4	14.5	0.96	16.4	14.6	1.78
Bostjan Nachbar	55	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.48	-11	16	-27	14.3	15.7	-1.43	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Josh Boone	47	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	4	-3	15.0	14.7	0.29	15.4	15.5	-0.09
DeSagana Diop	31	31	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	6	-7	16.6	14.1	2.55	14.6	15.8	-1.15
Sean Williams	10	9	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	5	-5	12.2	15.2	-3.01	21.4	14.8	6.65
Marcus Williams	33	31	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.24	-7	12	-19	14.0	15.4	-1.42	16.7	14.8	1.91
Trenton Hassell	17	18	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	8	-11	15.4	14.8	0.63	13.3	15.9	-2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.65,0.53,0.68,0.72,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 82, CHH 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.83,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.7,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.72,0.84,0.98,1	93.6%
NJN 91, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.69,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.94,1,1	93.2%
CHI 103, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.96,1	92.6%