NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	5.9 [496]		MVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): +12.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	1.2 [795]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (NJN): -21.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
MarShon Brooks	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.00	14	59%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	10	58%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	11	68%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	47%	0.03	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Johan Petro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Anthony Morrow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Deron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	14	44%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	11	25%	-0.09	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	6	75%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.02	16	51%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	15	53%	0.11	4	-0.08	13	38%	-0.08
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.14	0.07	-0.07	17	38%	0.08	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Fortson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	17	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
Trey Thompkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.8	26.2	15.8	32.3	2.5	44.6	153.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +22.1%

LAC +0.1%

LAC +24.8%

NJN -1.8%

LAC +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	LAC	NBA	NJN	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.6	101.1	112.2	102.8
season	16.2	16.2		101.3	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.5	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.3	14.8	18.2	13.1	16.0
LAC	16.0	18.8	13.9	15.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	44	43	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.05	2	-12	14	16.0	15.9	0.09	14.6	17.3	-2.76
Jordan Farmar	57	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.43	14	-24	38	15.0	17.6	-2.57	15.4	17.1	-1.64
Anthony Morrow	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-7	4	16.2	15.9	0.28	14.8	16.7	-1.93
MarShon Brooks	77	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-14	18	15.8	17.2	-1.46	16.5	12.4	4.08
Johan Petro	30	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-1	-8	17.2	15.4	1.78	15.6	16.2	-0.65
Kris Humphries	60	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	15.3	17.3	-2.03	16.5	15.0	1.56
Mehmet Okur	46	48	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	-3	-4	16.0	15.9	0.13	16.9	15.0	1.96
DeShawn Stevenson	36	35	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.23	-26	16	-42	17.7	14.9	2.81	16.8	15.5	1.32
Deron Williams	68	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.01	-19	9	-28	16.0	15.8	0.21	16.2	15.6	0.54

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	65	63	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-8	26	15.6	17.2	-1.63	17.0	13.6	3.41
Caron Butler	71	72	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.10	18	-8	26	15.2	19.1	-3.91	16.9	12.4	4.42
Blake Griffin	76	76	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.03	18	-8	26	15.4	19.1	-3.70	16.1	15.5	0.57
Randy Foye	78	77	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.11	15	-5	20	15.4	20.0	-4.59	16.1	15.0	1.14
Chauncey Billups	63	63	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	7	-4	17.4	12.9	4.48	15.3	17.5	-2.20
Ryan Gomes	47	48	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	10	-10	14.7	17.5	-2.76	15.0	17.1	-2.14
Trey Thompkins	12	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	20.7	15.3	5.46	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Courtney Fortson	16	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	16	-22	18.8	15.4	3.39	15.1	16.2	-1.09
Reggie Evans	22	23	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.18	-12	22	-34	18.5	15.2	3.34	14.4	16.5	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.69,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, SEA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.6,0.83,0.84,0.95,1,1	93.3%
GSW 81, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.46,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.93,1,1	93.3%
CLE 99, NJN 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.65,0.53,0.68,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	93.2%