NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	3.0 [1169]		MVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): +12.8%
Chicago Bulls	112		Comeback	1.5 [1186]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -8.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.18	0.00	0.10	12	75%	0.08	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	-0.00	0.10	14	66%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Javaris Crittenton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.00	0.07	18	54%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Juan Carlos Navarro	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.00	0.04	9	91%	0.13	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.02	14	68%	0.12	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	17	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	15	66%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	10	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	30.0	15.4	28.4	1.7	31.3	133.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +47.1%

MEM -0.7%

CHI +0.4%

CHI +3.2%

MEM -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.0	15.4	103.2	119.1	105.7
season	14.9	15.0		103.3	102.2
opponent	15.5	14.9		105.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.2	14.9	16.2	15.4	15.7
CHI	15.8	13.3	13.3	18.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-15	15	11.4	15.9	-4.51	14.4	15.0	-0.60
Andre Brown	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-15	15	11.4	15.9	-4.51	14.4	15.0	-0.60
Jason Collins	13	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-13	11	15.6	15.7	-0.06	16.9	14.7	2.27
Javaris Crittenton	60	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-17	19	14.2	18.2	-4.02	15.5	14.1	1.42
Brian Cardinal	51	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-17	19	13.0	18.8	-5.75	15.4	14.4	0.94
Kwame Brown	13	12	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-4	-7	17.4	15.4	1.99	15.2	14.9	0.32
Darko Milicic	63	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-13	11	15.7	15.7	-0.01	14.6	15.8	-1.27
Kyle Lowry	62	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-15	15	14.4	18.1	-3.63	15.5	14.0	1.49
Mike Conley	32	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.19	-15	0	-15	18.1	14.4	3.63	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Juan Carlos Navarro	34	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.18	-17	2	-19	18.2	14.2	4.02	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Rudy Gay	83	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	-2	-11	16.1	12.6	3.44	15.1	13.7	1.40
Hakim Warrick	49	48	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	4	-23	18.2	13.0	5.21	14.3	15.7	-1.42

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	84	84	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	0	15	14.7	16.9	-2.16	16.2	11.6	4.55
Kirk Hinrich	76	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	-3	21	14.9	15.1	-0.18	16.4	12.6	3.85
Larry Hughes	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.09	16	-1	17	14.3	15.7	-1.38	16.4	14.9	1.50
Andres Nocioni	58	57	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	5	5	15.3	14.4	0.85	14.9	16.8	-1.93
Joakim Noah	43	42	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	-2	19	13.7	16.1	-2.43	17.4	14.3	3.14
Drew Gooden	67	68	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	9	-3	15.6	13.3	2.35	16.3	14.0	2.26
Ben Gordon	60	60	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	18	-21	15.7	13.7	1.98	14.3	18.0	-3.70
Tyrus Thomas	17	18	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	17	-19	16.2	14.7	1.48	12.6	16.4	-3.85
Shannon Brown	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	12.3	15.1	-2.72	12.0	15.8	-3.79
Cedric Simmons	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	12.3	15.1	-2.72	12.0	15.8	-3.79
Aaron Gray	10	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	15	-15	14.9	15.0	-0.08	11.1	16.2	-5.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
VAN 80, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MEM 108, UTA 118	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%