inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 82 Excitement2.7 [1180] MVPBaron Davis (CHH): +7.1%
Charlotte Hornets 100 Comeback1.8 [668] LVPBryon Russell (UTA): -11.5%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Starks0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.03490%0.0400.002100%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02583%0.012-0.002100%0.00
Jarron Collins0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.03643%0.0100.002100%0.01
John Stockton0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02669%0.031-0.011100%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.100.00-0.09941%0.003-0.00475%-0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00350%-0.0100.00475%-0.01
Rusty LaRue-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.140.00-0.10625%-0.025-0.0300%0.00
John Amaechi-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02839%-0.042-0.03250%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.021347%-0.024-0.06667%-0.00
Karl Malone-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.15-0.00-0.051113%-0.101-0.001100%0.00
Bryon Russell-0.110,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.15-0.00-0.041125%-0.063-0.05250%-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Baron Davis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.120.000.051082%0.091-0.01250%-0.01
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.01671%0.041-0.002100%0.01
George Lynch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.03570%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.001859%0.043-0.03875%-0.00
Elden Campbell0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.03575%0.031-0.026100%0.02
Lee Nailon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.061133%0.0000.002100%-0.00
Kirk Haston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04520%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryce Drew0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.00-0.08545%0.024-0.031100%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
David Wesley0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.130.00-0.051131%-0.042-0.0340%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.02.427.415.424.51.824.2123.6
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +39.0%
CHH +1.0%
CHH +0.1%
CHH +10.6%
UTA -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTACHHNBAUTACHHNBA
this game15.914.915.687.2107.5102.3
season16.115.9102.9102.2
opponent15.615.1101.1101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.117.618.612.215.9
CHH12.715.816.415.014.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Starks2020-0.10-0.400.31-0.162-202214.216.4-2.1417.314.23.11
DeShawn Stevenson5152-0.11-0.390.28-0.234-222614.617.6-2.9915.913.52.45
Scott Padgett4546-0.11-0.390.28-0.203-212414.017.7-3.6316.113.72.43
Jarron Collins4039-0.15-0.350.200.09-8-10218.114.43.7214.215.3-1.13
John Amaechi4143-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-171613.118.1-4.9515.814.11.73
Rusty LaRue66-0.19-0.310.120.07-9-9017.515.81.678.515.3-6.80
Greg Ostertag3938-0.21-0.290.09-0.00-7-11414.217.2-3.0514.615.1-0.52
Andrei Kirilenko4142-0.22-0.280.070.05-9-9014.517.0-2.4815.214.60.65
John Stockton4241-0.22-0.280.060.16-13-5-817.514.72.8714.415.2-0.80
Donyell Marshall4947-0.29-0.21-0.080.09-13-5-817.314.42.9014.615.1-0.45
Bryon Russell4744-0.37-0.13-0.230.16-180-1818.413.54.8913.616.0-2.41
Karl Malone4947-0.39-0.11-0.280.23-213-2417.714.03.6313.716.1-2.43

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Wesley62630.450.050.39-0.081801814.615.4-0.7916.913.92.99
Jamal Mashburn68700.440.060.39-0.2323-52813.717.9-4.1316.514.22.26
Baron Davis65650.350.150.19-0.2420-22214.615.4-0.8116.614.42.15
P.J. Brown56570.320.180.13-0.2720-22214.215.9-1.7616.914.52.35
Elden Campbell39400.260.240.01-0.181531214.515.1-0.6417.914.43.51
Jamaal Magloire43430.240.26-0.010.01810-214.715.0-0.2215.016.7-1.68
Stacey Augmon31320.210.29-0.090.06513-814.914.90.0215.716.1-0.42
George Lynch37360.140.36-0.220.26-422-2615.914.21.7614.416.9-2.42
Lee Nailon31310.100.40-0.290.10018-1817.113.83.3114.216.8-2.55
Kirk Haston11110.000.50-0.500.15-523-2816.614.62.0112.216.4-4.25
Robert Traylor11110.000.50-0.500.15-523-2816.614.62.0112.216.4-4.25
Bryce Drew11110.000.50-0.500.15-523-2816.614.62.0112.216.4-4.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 84, POR 1210.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
MEM 97, CHI 1120.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
NYK 78, PHI 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%