NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	104		Excitement	8.6 [154]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): +45.9%
Denver Nuggets	110		Comeback	3.0 [649]		LVP	Anthony Carter (DEN): -27.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.33	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.42,0.33,0.33	0.19	0.14	0.01	15	72%	0.36	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.07
Al Thornton	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.02	-0.00	22	66%	0.25	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Dan Dickau	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Nick Fazekas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	10	29%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	7	56%	0.01	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Tim Thomas	-0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	15	35%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Josh Powell	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	13	38%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.22	0.24	-0.01	22	69%	0.53	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	0.01	25	55%	0.16	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	13	41%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.15
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.17	0.01	10	35%	-0.17	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.8	34.2	19.3	28.1	3.6	37.2	150.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +23.3%

LAC -26.8%

DEN +41.5%

DEN +10.0%

DEN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	13.6	15.4	105.1	112.2	105.7
season	15.6	13.3		99.5	108.2
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.4	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	16.2	15.4	14.8	15.6
DEN	13.3	12.1	13.4	15.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	21	20	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.11	10	-16	26	17.3	15.2	2.17	13.3	13.7	-0.38
Dan Dickau	16	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-5	4	17.4	15.3	2.16	12.9	13.8	-0.87
Al Thornton	70	70	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.33	6	-12	18	15.6	15.7	-0.14	14.3	11.8	2.49
Nick Fazekas	8	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	2	-10	18.1	15.4	2.72	13.4	13.6	-0.25
Tim Thomas	73	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-5	4	15.8	15.2	0.59	12.9	15.6	-2.74
Corey Maggette	84	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-6	6	15.2	17.7	-2.48	13.8	12.6	1.24
Cuttino Mobley	80	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.20	-12	6	-18	15.8	15.0	0.78	13.0	16.2	-3.21
Brevin Knight	74	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	4	-14	15.0	17.4	-2.37	13.8	13.1	0.65
Josh Powell	69	67	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.22	-14	8	-22	15.2	16.6	-1.40	14.2	12.3	1.87

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	91	93	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-5	16	13.4	15.7	-2.27	15.5	17.5	-1.99
Marcus Camby	78	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-3	12	13.8	12.8	0.94	15.2	17.4	-2.22
Carmelo Anthony	78	79	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	1	4	13.8	12.6	1.20	15.2	17.5	-2.35
Anthony Carter	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	2	2	14.5	12.3	2.12	14.8	16.8	-1.93
Kenyon Martin	77	78	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	6	-6	13.7	13.3	0.40	15.1	17.4	-2.29
Eduardo Najera	41	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	3	0	13.1	14.0	-0.91	17.4	14.4	3.05
Linas Kleiza	40	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	4	-2	12.3	14.5	-2.12	16.8	14.8	1.93
J.R. Smith	27	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	10	-14	13.4	13.7	-0.22	17.5	15.0	2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.61,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.72,0.32,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.55,0.72,1	92.0%
PHI 95, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.72,0.33,0.59,1	91.3%
DEN 102, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.91,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.66,0.24,0.84,1	91.2%