inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 102 Excitement8.0 [240] MVPJason Terry (ATL): +47.7%
Atlanta Hawks 105 Comeback3.1 [475] LVPNazr Mohammed (ATL): -20.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07-0.000.05-0.021256%0.122-0.053100%0.02
Antonio McDyess0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.00880%0.133-0.064100%0.04
Ryan Bowen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.01560%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mengke Bateer0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Donnell Harvey-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.00560%0.021-0.0300%0.00
James Posey-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00240%-0.022-0.0510%-0.02
George McCloud-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.040.041654%0.123-0.213100%0.03
Voshon Lenard-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.0170%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway-0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,-0.19-0.03-0.130.031751%-0.123-0.07520%-0.05
Juwan Howard-0.200,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2-0.07-0.120.011641%-0.012-0.192100%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.47,0.480.480.280.19-0.011494%0.4800.00580%-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.070.070.040.040.011668%0.174-0.09580%0.06
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.01-0.00779%0.134-0.1300%0.00
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.00256%-0.0300.00560%-0.03
Ira Newble0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00662%0.023-0.064100%0.02
Hanno Mottola0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.0140%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.07-0.011450%-0.023-0.082100%0.02
Nazr Mohammed0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.21-0.21-0.10-0.12-0.021229%-0.2100.00450%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.423.415.724.11.833.1125.5
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +18.2%
ATL +20.1%
DEN -17.2%
ATL +30.3%
DEN -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENATLNBADENATLNBA
this game14.815.715.6108.5110.5102.3
season16.115.599.799.7
opponent15.215.2103.9105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.316.813.016.514.8
ATL16.016.014.217.015.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juwan Howard79800.22-0.720.940.017-101714.714.8-0.0516.113.52.67
Mengke Bateer55-0.03-0.470.43-0.030-3316.214.71.5316.015.70.30
Carlos Arroyo67-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-2118.714.54.1814.715.8-1.08
James Posey1717-0.13-0.370.240.02-52-716.914.32.6715.915.70.27
Ryan Bowen4444-0.16-0.340.18-0.315-81316.213.52.6816.614.91.71
Donnell Harvey2526-0.18-0.320.15-0.00-63-917.213.93.2816.615.41.24
George McCloud6566-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.477-101714.615.1-0.5515.915.20.73
Tim Hardaway6463-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.331-4514.116.1-1.9715.715.8-0.15
Voshon Lenard2829-0.35-0.15-0.200.00-129-2114.614.8-0.2113.716.6-2.92
Antonio McDyess7474-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.36-30-314.117.3-3.2315.516.5-0.98
Calbert Cheaney6364-0.790.29-1.08-0.55-85-1313.417.5-4.0215.216.8-1.57

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ira Newble67640.52-0.020.540.404-1515.316.8-1.5714.315.7-1.39
Shareef Abdur-Rahim84840.52-0.020.540.259-61515.716.2-0.5314.913.41.52
Jason Terry85850.490.010.470.4030315.913.82.1414.615.9-1.25
Toni Kukoc36370.420.080.350.3912-114.916.2-1.3814.814.70.05
Nazr Mohammed56550.400.100.310.3521115.915.40.5615.214.11.07
Jacque Vaughn50490.200.30-0.100.1130315.516.0-0.5015.114.40.68
Hanno Mottola17170.040.46-0.420.13-36-916.515.50.9914.714.8-0.06
DerMarr Johnson4948-0.040.54-0.580.02-25-716.215.20.9715.014.50.54
Alan Henderson3131-0.060.56-0.610.00-25-716.015.60.4713.815.2-1.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.91,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.66,0.24,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 95, DET 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.72,0.33,0.59,191.6%
LAC 104, DEN 1100.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.61,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.72,0.32,0.84,191.2%
SAS 93, UTA 970.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.76,0.63,0.45,0.74,190.9%