NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	97		Excitement	8.2 [192]		MVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): +8.3%
Chicago Bulls	91		Comeback	13.3 [28]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -19.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	10	53%	0.14	2	-0.07	10	60%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	7	78%	0.12	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.06
Andray Blatche	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	13	59%	0.18	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.07,0.03	-0.08	0.09	-0.01	18	40%	0.08	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.06
Dominic McGuire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	14	52%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.03
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	48%	0.04	2	-0.08	5	40%	-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	1	100%	0.11	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	14	60%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	14	68%	0.25	4	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	16	42%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.07	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	9	30%	-0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	2.4	27.5	16.5	27.2	2.5	36.5	143.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -3.1%

WAS +15.0%

WAS +19.6%

WAS +21.5%

CHI -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	16.3	13.8	15.4	101.0	95.8	105.7
season	16.1	15.0		106.8	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.4	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.0	19.5	14.7	14.5	16.3
CHI	11.1	14.1	14.1	16.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	67	66	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.28	16	-10	26	15.8	17.4	-1.61	12.9	15.9	-3.04
Antonio Daniels	77	75	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.24	17	-11	28	15.6	19.4	-3.80	13.6	14.8	-1.24
Brendan Haywood	72	71	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.27	15	-9	24	15.6	18.6	-3.07	13.0	16.1	-3.08
Roger Mason Jr.	64	64	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-9	24	15.4	18.1	-2.66	13.7	14.0	-0.27
Antawn Jamison	76	76	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	-3	12	16.1	17.0	-0.92	14.0	13.1	0.89
Oleksiy Pecherov	8	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	8	-10	18.4	16.1	2.24	16.0	13.6	2.35
Nick Young	16	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	10	-14	18.1	16.0	2.16	18.4	12.9	5.55
Dominic McGuire	12	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	12	-18	18.9	16.0	2.96	17.9	13.2	4.75
Andray Blatche	48	48	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.16	-14	20	-34	17.8	14.9	2.94	14.4	13.3	1.08
DeShawn Stevenson	40	39	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.12	-16	22	-38	18.1	15.1	3.00	12.8	14.5	-1.74

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	16	16	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.06	8	-14	22	12.9	14.0	-1.14	17.2	16.1	1.11
Joakim Noah	44	44	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.09	0	-6	6	15.1	12.7	2.41	17.0	15.7	1.29
Tyrus Thomas	17	18	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-8	10	12.7	14.1	-1.36	19.3	15.6	3.71
Andres Nocioni	64	65	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-7	8	12.7	16.2	-3.47	15.2	18.6	-3.38
Chris Duhon	9	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-7	8	21.4	13.0	8.42	21.2	15.9	5.37
Ben Gordon	54	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-9	12	14.8	12.5	2.30	15.8	16.9	-1.02
Kirk Hinrich	70	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	1	-8	12.7	16.9	-4.15	16.2	16.8	-0.66
Drew Gooden	42	44	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.41	-7	1	-8	14.4	13.4	0.96	17.2	15.6	1.63
Luol Deng	88	89	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	7	-20	14.0	11.7	2.27	16.0	20.4	-4.43
Larry Hughes	71	72	-0.96	0.46	-1.41	-0.43	-18	12	-30	13.4	15.2	-1.86	15.7	18.1	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.41,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.55,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 118, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.47,0.29,0.23,0.04,0	90.8%
POR 95, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.45,0.37,0.05,0,0	90.7%
LAL 98, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.02,0	90.1%