NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	95		Excitement	6.3 [524]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): +23.1%
San Antonio Spurs	87		Comeback	5.2 [97]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -30.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.14	0.02	11	80%	0.27	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	13	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	21	48%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shawn Kemp	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Steven Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	9	32%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	9	42%	-0.05	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.01	10	70%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	6	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28	-0.28	-0.11	-0.18	-0.02	19	47%	-0.11	5	-0.17	5	100%	0.03
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.14,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.16	-0.14	0.00	18	37%	-0.15	3	-0.15	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	29.1	16.7	27.5	1.8	28.2	128.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +44.2%

POR +7.6%

SAS -6.4%

POR +9.3%

SAS -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	17.1	16.9	15.5	113.1	102.4	100.9
season	15.8	15.9		103.9	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.8		96.5	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	21.1	15.0	18.0	17.1
SAS	16.2	16.8	19.3	15.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	56	59	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.24	21	-13	34	15.9	19.6	-3.75	18.0	14.6	3.41
Damon Stoudamire	67	69	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.44	13	-5	18	16.2	20.7	-4.47	17.1	16.1	1.01
Scottie Pippen	66	67	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.15	18	-10	28	16.9	18.1	-1.16	17.6	14.4	3.17
Dale Davis	40	42	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	0	8	15.7	18.4	-2.66	17.6	16.3	1.34
Rasheed Wallace	64	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	1	6	17.3	16.6	0.65	17.7	14.2	3.58
Arvydas Sabonis	41	40	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	6	-4	18.1	16.2	1.87	16.2	17.6	-1.35
Shawn Kemp	23	22	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	9	-10	17.4	17.0	0.40	14.5	17.8	-3.23
Steven Smith	40	39	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	19	-30	19.3	15.1	4.21	15.2	18.4	-3.16
Detlef Schrempf	23	21	-0.57	1.07	-1.63	-0.07	-17	25	-42	19.7	16.2	3.52	14.4	17.8	-3.34

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-2	-4	18.7	16.5	2.26	18.1	16.9	1.18
Terry Porter	54	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-3	-2	17.6	15.8	1.84	17.3	16.9	0.49
Sean Elliott	30	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	1	-10	18.6	16.0	2.56	16.0	17.7	-1.66
Danny Ferry	41	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-11	14	15.2	18.6	-3.37	18.0	16.4	1.58
Samaki Walker	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	16.4	17.3	-0.94	17.4	17.0	0.35
Avery Johnson	33	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-7	6	15.8	17.7	-1.89	17.0	17.3	-0.29
Tim Duncan	68	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	17.4	14.9	2.50	17.2	17.1	0.11
David Robinson	69	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-3	-2	16.7	17.9	-1.15	17.0	17.6	-0.63
Derek Anderson	79	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.31	-6	-2	-4	16.8	18.3	-1.50	16.8	21.8	-4.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.45,0.37,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 128, HOU 118	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.06,0,0	91.7%
SAC 92, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.09,0	91.1%
WAS 97, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.41,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.55,0.1,0.02,0	90.7%