inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 98 Excitement8.2 [191] MVPChauncey Billups (DET): +14.9%
Denver Nuggets 93 Comeback1.6 [513] LVPMarcus Camby (DEN): -22.1%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0.150,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.150.070.100.021265%0.212-0.067100%0.04
Antonio McDyess0.130,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.130.040.07-0.021362%0.182-0.0500%0.00
Richard Hamilton0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.080.000.07-0.001948%0.121-0.044100%0.03
Tayshaun Prince0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.050.020.030.011559%0.143-0.094100%0.03
Amir Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.01-0.00629%-0.0600.0020%-0.05
Rodney Stuckey-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.00643%-0.022-0.052100%0.02
Jarvis Hayes-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.0030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Rasheed Wallace-0.130,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13-0.03-0.080.021242%-0.081-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.020.02-0.030.04-0.011439%0.051-0.03540%-0.20
Allen Iverson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,00.000.07-0.040.031955%0.102-0.101392%0.04
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00550%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00750%0.042-0.0720%-0.05
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.03-0.040.032049%-0.021-0.02786%0.02
Kenyon Martin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.04-0.011040%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.11-0.100.00822%-0.172-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.01.828.215.727.12.436.0132.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +55.0%
DEN -4.2%
DET +5.1%
DEN -12.2%
DET +6.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDENNBADETDENNBA
this game16.514.615.4107.798.9105.7
season16.813.3108.8108.2
opponent15.215.8105.4101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.916.315.718.516.5
DEN14.815.714.313.814.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton77790.60-0.100.700.349-41316.715.41.3114.714.00.75
Antonio McDyess68700.56-0.060.620.357-2916.417.0-0.6814.315.6-1.34
Rasheed Wallace67710.56-0.060.620.386-1716.915.41.5214.614.8-0.21
Tayshaun Prince72750.470.030.440.3250516.516.6-0.1214.216.4-2.18
Rodney Stuckey27280.290.210.080.1741316.916.40.4515.114.40.68
Chauncey Billups64660.210.29-0.080.1814-316.416.9-0.4514.415.1-0.68
Jarvis Hayes20200.010.49-0.490.0105-516.016.7-0.6315.514.41.17
Jason Maxiell3130-0.030.53-0.55-0.0305-516.616.50.1115.414.31.09
Amir Johnson1516-0.070.57-0.640.02-38-1116.116.6-0.4915.914.41.50
Arron Afflalo1415-0.100.60-0.700.02-49-1315.416.7-1.3114.014.7-0.75

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eduardo Najera35350.13-0.630.76-0.025-101514.414.8-0.4117.216.11.07
Anthony Carter3736-0.07-0.430.350.04-4-1-316.213.62.6615.317.4-2.09
Carmelo Anthony8682-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.321-6714.615.0-0.4116.417.8-1.38
J.R. Smith3734-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.22-3-2-114.714.60.1717.116.20.92
Linas Kleiza3335-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.20-4-1-313.515.3-1.8117.016.20.75
Allen Iverson8986-0.510.01-0.53-0.37-50-514.419.0-4.6216.812.44.38
Kenyon Martin7571-0.560.06-0.62-0.36-72-915.013.11.9116.118.0-1.87
Marcus Camby7876-0.570.07-0.64-0.33-83-1114.415.9-1.5016.616.10.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.35,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 91, NYK 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.04,093.5%
CHI 115, GSW 1100.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,093.3%
LAL 97, IND 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.01,0.04,092.7%