NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	8.0 [233]		MVP	Larry Hughes (CHI): +25.4%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	1.9 [377]		LVP	CJ Watson (GSW): -16.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.25	0.16	0.10	0.00	16	70%	0.30	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Lindsey Hunter	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.09	0.16	-0.00	6	83%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.22,0.22	0.04	0.17	-0.01	19	64%	0.35	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	70%	0.11	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	14	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Andres Nocioni	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	6	29%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	15	43%	-0.01	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.12	0.01	16	62%	0.22	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.00	11	73%	0.20	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.02
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.10	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.12	-0.04	20	71%	0.29	8	-0.31	5	80%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	10	20%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	29.2	15.5	26.3	2.6	39.5	139.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +56.9%

GSW -8.3%

CHI +4.0%

GSW -0.7%

GSW -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	GSW	NBA	CHI	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	13.6	15.5	115.0	111.1	106.4
season	14.8	13.8		106.3	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.7		111.2	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.8	17.3	14.4	16.0	15.3
GSW	13.4	12.2	14.4	14.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	33	33	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-4	13	17.4	14.3	3.16	13.8	13.5	0.24
Andres Nocioni	46	46	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-3	11	15.8	14.9	0.83	14.0	13.3	0.74
Tyrus Thomas	32	32	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-3	11	18.5	13.8	4.74	14.4	13.2	1.20
Drew Gooden	80	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	5	-5	14.8	17.4	-2.67	13.6	13.9	-0.35
Derrick Rose	76	74	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.30	1	4	-3	15.1	16.0	-0.85	14.0	12.6	1.37
Larry Hughes	85	85	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	3	-1	15.0	16.9	-1.91	13.4	15.0	-1.60
Ben Gordon	86	86	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	5	-5	14.9	17.9	-2.96	13.5	14.2	-0.61
Thabo Sefolosha	62	61	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	8	-11	14.1	17.3	-3.19	12.9	14.8	-1.85

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	33	33	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.01	8	-13	21	12.9	14.0	-1.08	15.9	15.0	0.85
Ronny Turiaf	16	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-3	1	15.2	13.3	1.86	13.9	15.6	-1.62
Marcus Williams	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-1	-3	17.6	13.3	4.25	17.3	15.2	2.12
Anthony Randolph	27	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-4	3	14.5	13.3	1.18	13.6	16.0	-2.37
Brandan Wright	19	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	4	-13	14.3	13.5	0.79	17.6	14.8	2.80
Corey Maggette	81	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-8	11	13.4	14.8	-1.41	15.5	14.2	1.33
Andris Biedrins	74	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-9	13	13.4	14.4	-0.98	15.2	15.7	-0.55
Anthony Morrow	71	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	0	-5	13.6	13.8	-0.22	14.8	16.8	-2.06
CJ Watson	75	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	1	-7	12.9	16.0	-3.19	15.5	14.8	0.63
Stephen Jackson	92	93	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.26	-13	8	-21	14.0	8.3	5.75	15.4	13.6	1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.35,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.04,0	93.3%
LAC 103, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.05,0	93.0%
SAS 102, DEN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.01,0	92.8%