NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	103		Excitement	7.9 [252]		MVP	Terry Dehere (LAC): +19.0%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	2.4 [381]		LVP	Xavier McDaniel (NJN): -18.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.00	11	62%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Loy Vaught	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	16	57%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.05
Rodney Rogers	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	10	64%	0.10	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.05
Lamond Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Darrick Martin	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	68%	0.11	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	4	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Richard Manning	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	23%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.02	12	38%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Bo Outlaw	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	6	56%	-0.01	3	-0.13	4	25%	-0.07

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	5	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jack Haley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	14	48%	0.07	4	-0.10	3	67%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	21	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	17	47%	-0.02	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	19	44%	-0.02	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.02
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	29.4	15.6	23.5	2.6	33.4	128.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +38.9%

NJN -6.9%

NJN -14.9%

LAC +32.1%

LAC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NJN	NBA	LAC	NJN	NBA
this game	14.0	14.7	15.6	102.0	96.0	104.4
season	15.8	15.4		102.9	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.1		106.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	12.7	14.0	15.3	14.0
NJN	14.8	15.0	13.7	15.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	61	59	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.25	17	-10	27	15.0	12.4	2.53	15.5	13.6	1.90
Terry Dehere	28	29	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-3	13	15.5	13.4	2.15	15.8	14.2	1.57
Rodney Rogers	70	67	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-3	13	13.9	14.3	-0.40	14.3	15.4	-1.07
Bo Outlaw	78	79	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	3	1	14.6	11.9	2.68	14.6	14.9	-0.22
Lorenzen Wright	49	50	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	7	-7	14.6	13.4	1.19	14.9	14.5	0.44
Richard Manning	14	13	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	3	1	10.9	14.5	-3.54	13.4	14.9	-1.49
Lamond Murray	22	21	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	5	-3	12.3	14.5	-2.18	14.9	14.6	0.22
Loy Vaught	69	70	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	7	-7	14.3	13.3	0.98	15.1	13.7	1.40
Malik Sealy	77	75	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	7	-7	12.9	17.5	-4.56	14.1	16.6	-2.51
Brent Barry	28	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	12	-17	12.7	14.5	-1.80	13.7	15.0	-1.29
Pooh Richardson	9	9	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.05	-7	14	-21	14.6	13.9	0.63	14.1	14.7	-0.63

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Kleine	40	40	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.16	10	-17	27	13.9	15.2	-1.34	14.5	13.6	0.94
Jack Haley	2	3	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-8	9	8.0	14.8	-6.82	8.3	14.2	-5.82
Kerry Kittles	68	69	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.28	7	-14	21	14.6	14.8	-0.15	14.8	12.2	2.67
Jim Jackson	87	87	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-7	7	14.3	17.0	-2.67	13.3	18.3	-5.00
Xavier McDaniel	45	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-6	5	13.3	15.8	-2.45	12.1	15.5	-3.40
Tony Massenburg	62	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	15.2	13.9	1.27	15.0	12.4	2.58
Eric Montross	51	51	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.04	-19	12	-31	16.2	13.1	3.05	14.1	13.8	0.32
Kendall Gill	84	84	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	6	-19	15.1	12.5	2.60	13.7	15.1	-1.37
Sam Cassell	61	62	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.25	-14	7	-21	14.7	14.7	-0.06	14.5	13.2	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 115, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0	93.0%
WAS 103, CHA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.02,0	92.7%
LAC 95, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0	92.6%