NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	8.3 [168]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +27.8%
New York Knicks	88		Comeback	1.5 [235]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -30.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.28	0.17	0.12	0.01	12	87%	0.36	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.09
Shannon Brown	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.16	0.04	0.11	0.00	12	58%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	5	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.02	0.04	15	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.10	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.02	-0.01	13	39%	0.04	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	14	67%	0.29	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	52%	0.03	3	-0.06	9	56%	-0.08
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	6	23%	-0.09	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.17,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.14	-0.12	-0.00	22	43%	-0.08	6	-0.18	10	90%	0.06
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.36,-0.41,-0.41,-0.4,-0.3	-0.30	-0.18	-0.12	-0.00	22	25%	-0.28	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.0	30.3	17.4	21.0	2.7	36.3	135.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +66.5%

NYK -0.0%

NYK -28.0%

PHX +11.4%

PHX +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NYK	NBA	PHX	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	14.1	15.6	93.8	88.9	102.8
season	15.0	14.9		104.7	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.7		100.2	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.3	15.6	16.0	14.6	15.4
NYK	14.7	14.4	14.7	12.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	79	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-3	9	14.9	17.1	-2.16	13.9	14.6	-0.72
Shannon Brown	55	55	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-3	9	14.9	16.0	-1.06	13.8	14.3	-0.52
Steve Nash	77	78	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	-1	5	15.3	15.5	-0.19	13.8	15.0	-1.21
Channing Frye	49	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	-1	5	15.7	15.0	0.61	14.6	13.5	1.11
Grant Hill	78	80	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.36	2	1	1	15.4	15.1	0.30	13.8	15.2	-1.44
Hakim Warrick	32	33	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.07	1	2	-1	15.7	15.2	0.55	14.5	13.8	0.70
Markieff Morris	12	11	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	2	-1	16.3	15.2	1.12	12.8	14.2	-1.39
Sebastian Telfair	20	21	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	4	-5	15.5	15.3	0.19	15.0	13.8	1.21
Jared Dudley	33	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	3	-3	15.5	15.2	0.30	14.5	13.8	0.72
Ronnie Price	32	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	8	-13	14.6	15.7	-1.13	13.7	14.2	-0.50
Robin Lopez	18	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	6	-9	17.1	14.9	2.16	14.6	13.9	0.72

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Harrellson	16	16	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-4	5	16.5	13.6	2.92	15.2	15.4	-0.12
Toney Douglas	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-4	5	14.7	13.7	1.07	14.8	15.6	-0.82
Mike Bibby	12	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	1	-5	14.1	14.0	0.04	16.6	15.2	1.45
Jared Jeffries	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	1	-5	14.7	13.7	1.10	15.1	15.5	-0.34
Amar'e Stoudemire	79	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.42	2	-5	7	14.1	14.0	0.00	15.5	14.8	0.63
Tyson Chandler	80	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	13.8	15.2	-1.44	15.4	15.1	0.30
Carmelo Anthony	80	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	13.8	15.2	-1.44	15.4	15.1	0.30
Iman Shumpert	82	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	14.0	14.2	-0.22	15.4	15.2	0.21
Landry Fields	75	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	2	-7	13.5	15.8	-2.30	15.2	15.7	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.35,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.04,0	93.5%
LAL 97, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.01,0.04,0	92.8%
DAL 81, IND 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	92.6%