NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	10.1 [54]		MVP	Jason Richardson (CHA): +30.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	100		Comeback	16.0 [95]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -45.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.13	0.00	14	63%	0.23	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.20
Acie Law	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	8	72%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.19,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.12	0.00	8	33%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.19
Shelden Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	19	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Mario West	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	15	37%	-0.11	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.06
Josh Smith	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	5	-0.12	2	0%	-0.04
Al Horford	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	11	55%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.12,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3	0.30	-0.03	0.33	-0.01	17	45%	0.36	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.10
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.15	-0.00	6	60%	0.20	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.14	0.01	6	50%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.07	0.02	11	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.04
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	75%	0.12	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	6	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.26,-0.44,-0.44,-0.37,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45	-0.46	-0.07	-0.38	0.01	23	44%	-0.37	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.6	1.7	25.5	15.6	28.2	2.5	39.3	2.5	10.1	153.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -17.8%

CHA +41.6%

CHA +49.3%

ATL -9.4%

ATL -13.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.8	16.5	15.4	102.1	105.3	105.7
season	15.4	15.8		104.2	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.7		107.8	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	13.1	16.5	17.0	19.7	21.8	16.8
CHA	15.7	16.3	18.1	15.3	18.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	52	53	0.38	-0.88	1.25	0.05	11	-13	24	17.3	16.3	0.93	16.2	16.8	-0.55
Lorenzen Wright	37	37	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.03	11	-13	24	16.2	17.3	-1.11	17.1	16.1	0.99
Shelden Williams	14	14	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-11	20	15.1	17.1	-2.07	17.0	16.4	0.64
Mario West	5	5	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	0	-2	16.2	16.9	-0.68	14.0	16.6	-2.59
Zaza Pachulia	8	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-2	2	13.1	17.2	-4.06	14.4	16.6	-2.27
Josh Smith	28	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	1	-4	15.9	17.2	-1.29	16.7	16.4	0.31
Tyronn Lue	61	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.56	0	-2	2	18.0	14.9	3.04	16.6	16.2	0.35
Joe Johnson	87	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	3	-8	16.9	15.9	1.05	16.3	17.4	-1.06
Marvin Williams	84	83	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.42	-7	5	-12	16.9	16.6	0.30	16.5	16.2	0.23
Anthony Johnson	44	41	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.40	-11	9	-20	16.3	17.3	-0.93	17.1	16.0	1.13
Al Horford	60	59	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.49	-13	11	-24	17.3	16.0	1.31	16.1	17.1	-0.97

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	54	56	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.51	13	-11	24	16.8	16.0	0.71	18.9	14.0	4.92
Emeka Okafor	71	74	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.48	12	-10	22	15.9	18.1	-2.24	17.4	15.1	2.27
Jason Richardson	74	76	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.35	14	-12	26	16.5	16.2	0.34	17.0	16.1	0.88
Raymond Felton	92	94	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-6	14	16.5	15.0	1.50	17.1	6.5	10.56
Matt Carroll	53	55	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	4	-6	16.8	16.0	0.90	18.0	15.3	2.66
Jeff McInnis	61	59	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.21	-9	11	-20	15.6	18.0	-2.41	15.3	19.3	-4.04
Earl Boykins	10	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	5	-8	17.4	16.3	1.06	15.9	16.9	-1.05
Nazr Mohammed	37	37	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.14	-2	4	-6	17.2	16.0	1.25	14.7	18.2	-3.48
Othella Harrington	9	8	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	14	-26	16.2	16.5	-0.25	12.7	17.2	-4.47
Jermareo Davidson	14	12	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.02	-9	11	-20	17.1	16.3	0.81	13.7	17.3	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.29,0.43,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.24,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 97, MEM 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.23,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.27,1	89.0%
SAC 111, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.32,0.26,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.25,0.15,0.17,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.57,0.42,1	88.7%
DAL 105, OKC 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.45,0.74,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	88.3%