inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 97 Excitement10.3 [44] MVPAl Harrington (DEN): +41.7%
Memphis Grizzlies 100 Comeback22.9 [38] LVPRudy Gay (MEM): -30.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Harrington0.420,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.420.050.34-0.021664%0.524-0.104100%0.04
Corey Brewer0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.00480%0.0700.00250%-0.01
Nene0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01967%0.093-0.06367%-0.02
Kosta Koufos0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Chris Andersen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.080,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.001155%0.095-0.1600%0.00
Danilo Gallinari-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.011031%-0.061-0.026100%0.03
Timofey Mozgov-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.02312%-0.043-0.07250%-0.01
Rudy Fernandez-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16-0.10-0.07-0.0240%-0.102-0.0600%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.250,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.25-0.00-0.25-0.00750%-0.021-0.232100%0.01
Andre Miller-0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.270.02-0.290.001362%-0.094-0.18650%-0.07

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.260.26-0.010.27-0.001452%0.383-0.125100%0.03
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07,0,0.260.260.050.220.011460%0.362-0.10250%-0.03
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.00650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.011350%0.021-0.031471%-0.02
Quincy Pondexter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00337%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Mike Conley0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.001142%0.012-0.044100%0.05
Josh Selby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.030.01536%-0.063-0.07475%-0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.30-0.09-0.22-0.002045%-0.095-0.224100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.32.535.014.824.32.434.42.720.6162.0
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.61.917.4136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +11.6%
MEM +7.9%
DEN -2.2%
MEM +30.2%
MEM +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMEMNBADENMEMNBA
this game14.715.915.691.598.0102.8
season14.515.6107.5102.0
opponent15.715.8100.1104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN12.013.916.816.915.714.7
MEM14.815.015.917.417.715.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kosta Koufos21210.26-0.761.020.096-91515.514.60.9117.415.41.98
Rudy Fernandez36340.22-0.720.930.046-91515.214.50.6816.315.60.62
Danilo Gallinari53490.17-0.670.830.112-5714.714.8-0.1315.116.6-1.52
Chris Andersen13120.11-0.610.72-0.076-91513.614.9-1.2916.615.80.83
Timofey Mozgov2119-0.16-0.340.180.08-85-1316.714.32.4613.116.5-3.44
Corey Brewer2725-0.22-0.280.07-0.251-4512.715.4-2.7416.015.80.19
Andre Miller7473-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.495-81315.114.01.0716.813.33.50
Al Harrington7574-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.483-6914.415.6-1.2316.713.73.00
Ty Lawson6968-0.560.06-0.62-0.24-118-1914.714.8-0.1415.117.3-2.16
Arron Afflalo7368-0.750.25-1.00-0.49-96-1515.213.71.5715.616.3-0.62
Nene6867-0.830.33-1.16-0.36-1613-2914.315.5-1.1815.316.9-1.66

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rudy Gay84890.87-0.371.240.4315-122716.015.10.9714.615.5-0.93
Tony Allen69730.79-0.291.070.4910-71715.716.2-0.4415.313.51.83
Mike Conley83870.71-0.210.910.3811-81916.015.30.6615.411.63.86
Marc Gasol95990.60-0.100.710.378-51315.915.10.7615.27.77.53
O.J. Mayo60610.53-0.030.560.5303-316.415.01.4115.014.40.68
Marreese Speights4042-0.040.54-0.58-0.01-14-515.016.4-1.3612.816.0-3.21
Josh Selby65-0.130.63-0.76-0.01-47-1115.815.9-0.0213.414.8-1.41
Quincy Pondexter2626-0.380.88-1.260.03-1417-3115.016.1-1.1412.115.6-3.48
Dante Cunningham4748-0.450.95-1.40-0.16-1013-2315.915.80.0414.814.70.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.23,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 116, LAL 1180.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.46,0.62,0.36,0.32,0.08,189.3%
ATL 98, CHA 1000.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.29,0.43,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.24,0.58,189.0%
PHX 102, DEN 1070.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.2,0.27,188.7%