inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 102 Excitement9.5 [85] MVPGeorge McCloud (DEN): +28.7%
Denver Nuggets 107 Comeback55.5 [7] LVPTom Gugliotta (PHX): -42.3%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Clifford Robinson0.080,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.080.040.03-0.001656%0.101-0.024100%0.02
Luc Longley-0.010,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01853%0.032-0.041100%0.00
Oliver Miller-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Kidd-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.02-0.041231%-0.021-0.02250%-0.00
Randy Livingston-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.05-0.031040%-0.0610.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion-0.110,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11-0.06-0.06-0.011741%-0.022-0.0900%0.00
Rodney Rogers-0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.06,-0.06,-0.270.01-0.29-0.011952%-0.202-0.06250%-0.02
Tom Gugliotta-0.420,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.42-0.21-0.27-0.052836%-0.334-0.0950%-0.08

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.290.29-0.010.300.001550%0.332-0.052100%0.01
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.290.290.130.180.022169%0.343-0.05771%-0.02
James Posey0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02575%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.010.001045%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Roy Rogers00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.01350%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011741%-0.051-0.02580%0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.33,-0.33-0.33-0.15-0.20-0.021550%-0.037-0.30667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.22.325.115.422.81.835.02.423.6150.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +102.0%
DEN +10.6%
PHX -35.7%
PHX -29.3%
DEN +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXDENNBAPHXDENNBA
this game15.714.115.296.2100.0101.7
season14.814.8101.4101.5
opponent15.015.3103.796.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
PHX13.513.617.818.116.515.7
DEN15.814.114.313.810.814.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luc Longley51520.29-0.791.09-0.0010-152514.516.9-2.4013.514.8-1.26
Randy Livingston58550.22-0.720.940.104-91314.517.2-2.6913.814.5-0.72
Tom Gugliotta9496-0.16-0.340.19-0.429-142315.814.81.0014.114.6-0.54
Shawn Marion7073-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.467-121915.915.40.5414.513.50.95
Oliver Miller78-0.26-0.24-0.020.03-105-1518.315.52.7516.514.02.54
Rodney Rogers6966-0.760.26-1.02-0.32-1510-2516.414.41.9714.413.70.76
Clifford Robinson9597-0.760.26-1.02-0.38-138-2115.716.3-0.6214.312.61.71
Jason Kidd8688-0.820.32-1.15-0.32-1712-2916.313.13.1614.015.1-1.10

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Van Exel91890.96-0.461.420.3421-163714.313.11.2015.815.50.29
Antonio McDyess89890.87-0.371.230.2820-153514.114.5-0.4216.014.11.97
Ron Mercer93910.57-0.070.630.367-2914.312.91.4916.013.72.31
George McCloud65680.490.010.480.55-27-913.714.9-1.2015.516.2-0.73
Raef LaFrentz68650.460.040.420.49-16-713.016.1-3.0715.216.5-1.22
Roy Rogers24240.100.40-0.31-0.0241316.013.62.4413.916.2-2.33
James Posey42380.010.49-0.48-0.207-2914.913.71.2016.215.50.73
Ryan Bowen1517-0.060.56-0.62-0.1223-116.213.82.3820.114.95.17
Bryant Stith1415-0.070.57-0.63-0.01-27-912.914.3-1.4913.716.0-2.31
Keon Clark1817-0.370.87-1.230.07-1520-3514.514.10.4214.116.0-1.97
Cory Alexander1617-0.460.96-1.420.01-1621-3713.114.3-1.2015.515.8-0.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.2,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 106, CHA 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.54,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.27,190.4%
DEN 97, MEM 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.23,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.27,188.7%
PHI 114, WAS 1160.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.31,0.38,0.46,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.16,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,188.0%