NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	7.7 [273]		MVP	Shawne Williams (IND): +26.3%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	2.8 [569]		LVP	Marquis Daniels (IND): -15.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.22	0.13	0.08	-0.02	16	64%	0.25	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.15	0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	16	68%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	8	60%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Leon Powe	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	13	48%	0.11	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	21%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.15	-0.02	10	70%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Travis Diener	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	13	48%	0.01	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	16	49%	-0.07	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.14	-0.03	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.8	30.0	15.6	23.4	2.4	30.6	131.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +8.8%

BOS +18.4%

IND -4.5%

BOS +29.2%

IND -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	15.2	15.4	107.2	101.0	105.7
season	15.6	13.8		108.0	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.9		105.6	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.6	15.7	13.0	14.7	14.7
IND	15.0	15.6	15.4	14.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	63	62	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.28	24	-17	41	13.6	16.6	-2.95	15.4	14.8	0.55
Rajon Rondo	65	64	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.26	14	-7	21	14.2	15.6	-1.42	14.8	16.0	-1.19
Paul Pierce	84	82	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-4	15	14.3	16.9	-2.60	15.4	14.1	1.29
Ray Allen	73	71	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	1	5	15.0	13.6	1.44	14.7	16.4	-1.71
James Posey	63	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	6	-5	15.4	13.3	2.12	14.7	16.2	-1.45
Brian Scalabrine	34	31	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	1	5	13.3	15.4	-2.12	16.2	14.7	1.45
Tony Allen	39	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	10	-13	14.6	14.7	-0.13	15.3	15.1	0.20
Eddie House	32	32	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	14	-21	15.6	14.2	1.42	16.0	14.8	1.19
Glen Davis	32	32	-0.49	0.99	-1.47	0.01	-17	24	-41	16.9	13.6	3.34	15.2	15.2	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	57	58	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-13	19	15.5	14.7	0.82	14.3	15.2	-0.89
Danny Granger	80	80	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-12	17	15.2	15.2	-0.01	15.0	13.3	1.67
Ike Diogu	6	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-5	3	13.5	15.3	-1.79	17.0	14.5	2.46
David Harrison	23	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	1	-9	14.2	15.5	-1.26	14.0	14.9	-0.96
Shawne Williams	43	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.27	2	-9	11	14.9	15.4	-0.53	14.8	14.6	0.20
Marquis Daniels	58	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-5	3	14.6	16.1	-1.49	14.9	14.3	0.69
Kareem Rush	49	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	0	-7	15.2	15.1	0.14	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Travis Diener	51	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	4	-15	15.5	14.8	0.71	14.3	15.1	-0.83
Jeff Foster	41	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-4	1	16.2	14.4	1.86	15.1	14.4	0.77
Mike Dunleavy	72	73	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.32	-15	8	-23	15.1	15.3	-0.21	14.6	15.0	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.18,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.3,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 97, PHX 88	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.32,0.04,0	91.3%
LAL 80, SAS 75	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.16,0	91.0%
CHI 108, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.17,0.02,0	90.9%