NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	97		Excitement	6.6 [484]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +19.6%
Phoenix Suns	88		Comeback	2.4 [747]		LVP	Michael Beasley (PHX): -20.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.11	-0.01	11	77%	0.30	5	-0.10	9	67%	0.02
Mario Chalmers	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	7	79%	0.19	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	4	82%	0.10	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	20	45%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Norris Cole	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	9	80%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	12	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	14	45%	-0.01	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.08	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	3	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.13	-0.02	17	41%	-0.08	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.7	30.4	16.0	27.2	2.7	31.2	134.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +48.0%

MIA +2.4%

PHX -8.3%

MIA +3.8%

MIA +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHX	NBA	MIA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	14.5	15.4	102.1	92.6	104.1
season	15.7	15.2		110.2	99.7
opponent	15.1	15.9		106.3	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.7	15.9	15.6	17.5	15.9
PHX	11.5	15.4	15.7	15.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	70	71	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.18	26	-17	43	15.1	17.9	-2.75	13.9	16.2	-2.34
LeBron James	80	78	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.22	20	-11	31	15.7	16.6	-0.89	15.6	9.3	6.30
Mike Miller	49	48	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.00	23	-14	37	14.5	17.3	-2.86	15.4	13.5	1.93
Mario Chalmers	62	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-3	15	15.4	16.7	-1.29	15.0	13.4	1.59
Chris Bosh	75	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	0	9	15.1	18.5	-3.35	15.4	11.4	3.97
Norris Cole	32	31	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	12	-15	17.0	15.3	1.78	13.8	14.8	-1.02
Joel Anthony	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	11	-13	17.3	15.8	1.58	15.7	14.4	1.28
Ray Allen	47	48	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.22	-14	23	-37	17.1	14.6	2.44	13.2	15.7	-2.45
Udonis Haslem	33	34	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.10	-11	20	-31	18.0	14.7	3.29	13.4	15.1	-1.73
Rashard Lewis	21	23	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.06	-15	24	-39	17.5	15.4	2.15	10.9	15.6	-4.74

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	54	53	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-15	21	14.3	14.7	-0.39	16.8	14.7	2.13
Sebastian Telfair	46	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-15	21	15.0	13.9	1.08	16.7	15.0	1.72
Shannon Brown	45	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-11	13	15.8	13.2	2.58	16.7	15.1	1.63
Jermaine O'Neal	44	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-11	13	16.1	13.0	3.12	16.9	14.9	2.05
PJ Tucker	31	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-12	15	14.5	14.5	-0.02	16.9	15.3	1.64
Jared Dudley	39	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	0	-9	13.6	15.0	-1.39	14.5	16.7	-2.28
Luis Scola	30	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	4	-17	15.7	13.9	1.86	13.8	16.8	-3.05
Marcin Gortat	50	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	2	-13	13.2	15.8	-2.58	15.1	16.7	-1.63
Michael Beasley	75	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.14	-14	5	-19	14.1	15.9	-1.82	15.6	16.9	-1.39
Goran Dragic	61	62	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.13	-17	8	-25	13.4	16.4	-3.08	15.2	17.0	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.18,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.3,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.23,0.04,0	91.3%
OKC 118, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.02,0	91.2%
MIL 86, SAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0	90.9%