inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 105 Excitement12.6 [13] MVPAllen Iverson (DEN): +48.2%
Portland Trail Blazers 103 Comeback8.4 [110] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -40.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Allen Iverson0.480,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.48-0.110.56-0.032843%0.645-0.162100%0.01
J.R. Smith0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.030.00767%0.1000.001100%0.00
Kenyon Martin0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.05-0.001059%0.111-0.02250%-0.05
Linas Kleiza0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.020.04-0.04-0.011162%0.102-0.09250%-0.01
Yakhouba Diawara-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Steven Hunter-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.00520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.030.01350%-0.012-0.062100%0.01
Eduardo Najera-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15-0.00-0.15-0.01750%-0.111-0.032100%0.01
Carmelo Anthony-0.410,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.41-0.07-0.34-0.012746%-0.095-0.317100%0.05

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Martell Webster0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.110.030.00874%0.171-0.02757%-0.10
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00762%0.041-0.012100%0.01
Steve Blake0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.011342%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brandon Roy0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.11,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.020.012446%-0.011-0.02875%0.02
Sergio Rodriguez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.01922%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.06-0.15-0.011350%0.004-0.21667%-0.18
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.37-0.37-0.05-0.310.011361%0.157-0.522100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.51.829.015.024.51.732.91.712.5144.5
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.31.917.1140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +63.6%
POR -23.6%
POR -0.1%
DEN +18.0%
POR -8.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPORNBADENPORNBA
this game14.216.615.4102.999.0105.7
season13.316.7108.2105.5
opponent15.415.2106.1105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN14.212.414.515.814.814.2
POR17.714.818.216.216.716.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eduardo Najera78781.09-0.591.680.7412-102214.114.7-0.6616.317.7-1.40
Linas Kleiza60630.85-0.351.210.628-61414.014.5-0.5015.418.5-3.12
Allen Iverson94960.76-0.261.020.3215-132814.016.6-2.6217.210.56.66
Carmelo Anthony90920.270.230.040.53-911-2014.89.45.4316.418.2-1.72
J.R. Smith28290.120.38-0.25-0.2011-92013.614.4-0.7815.916.9-1.08
Yakhouba Diawara760.030.47-0.440.0011017.414.03.4615.516.7-1.21
Kenyon Martin7881-0.030.53-0.560.41-1517-3214.812.42.3416.716.40.32
Steven Hunter1717-0.170.67-0.85-0.03-57-1213.614.3-0.6719.116.22.89
Anthony Carter5858-0.420.92-1.34-0.19-810-1813.315.4-2.1617.615.42.21

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Blake59570.19-0.690.87-0.089-112017.215.91.3313.615.0-1.42
Martell Webster67670.17-0.670.850.083-5818.313.74.5714.513.70.75
LaMarcus Aldridge7472-0.12-0.380.25-0.337-91617.714.03.6714.812.81.94
Sergio Rodriguez88-0.20-0.300.090.09-108-1817.616.61.0610.114.6-4.43
Brandon Roy9494-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.436-81416.715.80.9314.213.70.49
Channing Frye4444-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.13-97-1614.917.9-3.0113.914.4-0.52
Joel Przybilla3229-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.36-20-218.515.82.6413.914.3-0.48
Jarrett Jack7169-0.710.21-0.92-0.54-64-1015.120.0-4.8714.413.70.71
Travis Outlaw7170-0.750.25-0.99-0.51-86-1415.120.0-4.8714.413.80.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.29,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.82,0.75,0.63,0.89,0.77,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.56,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 116, TOR 1120.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.46,0.69,0.84,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.27,089.4%
NJN 90, UTA 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,087.9%
BOS 86, ATL 870.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.75,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.78,0.66,0.93,187.0%