NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	7.1 [360]		MVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): +60.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	70.4 [10]		LVP	Marko Jaric (MIN): -16.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.05	-0.02	9	58%	0.14	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.02	0.11	-0.08	0.01	22	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	16	69%	0.01
Sean Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	1	33%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Antoine Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Marcus Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,-0.1	0.01	-0.10	0.01	18	56%	0.02	4	-0.12	9	78%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.6	0.60	0.27	0.34	0.01	21	68%	0.66	1	-0.05	17	82%	0.16
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.09	0.00	10	45%	0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Greg Buckner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	6	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	0.03	8	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,-0.09	-0.09	0.07	-0.15	0.01	13	62%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	6	0%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	29.5	15.7	28.0	1.6	42.2	145.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -0.3%

MIN +36.1%

MIN +16.1%

NJN -0.8%

NJN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIN	NBA	NJN	MIN	NBA
this game	17.0	16.1	15.4	109.2	112.6	105.7
season	15.4	15.9		101.8	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.5		109.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	17.7	20.6	16.0	17.0
MIN	17.3	15.8	19.4	12.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	31	29	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.16	5	-8	13	20.1	15.3	4.73	18.0	15.1	2.93
Josh Boone	53	53	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.14	0	-3	3	16.0	18.6	-2.52	17.1	14.6	2.50
Marcus Williams	21	21	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.05	1	-4	5	20.0	16.1	3.99	16.2	16.0	0.21
Bostjan Nachbar	0	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-3	3	0.0	17.0	-17.02	0.0	16.3	-16.27
Jason Collins	42	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-2	1	18.0	16.2	1.80	15.3	16.7	-1.35
Vince Carter	77	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-5	7	16.9	18.1	-1.22	15.9	17.3	-1.36
Sean Williams	40	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-2	1	15.1	18.6	-3.51	16.1	16.0	0.12
Jason Kidd	66	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.46	-4	1	-5	16.1	20.0	-3.99	16.0	16.2	-0.21
Richard Jefferson	59	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.54	-5	2	-7	16.2	18.8	-2.65	16.0	16.2	-0.11
Antoine Wright	46	45	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.46	-12	9	-21	18.2	15.7	2.58	15.0	17.3	-2.33

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	63	61	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.46	8	-5	13	15.8	16.8	-1.04	16.8	17.7	-0.90
Antoine Walker	47	46	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.46	5	-2	7	14.5	17.9	-3.41	16.2	17.9	-1.71
Sebastian Telfair	69	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.51	2	1	1	16.1	16.0	0.10	17.2	16.2	0.95
Al Jefferson	76	78	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	-4	11	16.2	15.1	1.13	16.5	21.9	-5.43
Corey Brewer	48	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	5	-7	15.5	16.8	-1.25	15.2	19.3	-4.12
Rashad McCants	37	38	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.23	-2	5	-7	17.9	14.8	3.10	19.7	15.0	4.68
Gerald Green	25	26	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.13	8	-5	13	15.3	16.4	-1.12	19.0	16.2	2.82
Greg Buckner	10	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	3	-3	16.9	16.0	0.93	18.7	16.8	1.90
Craig Smith	20	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	6	-9	17.6	15.6	2.04	21.9	15.7	6.23
Marko Jaric	40	39	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	11	-19	16.6	15.6	0.96	14.8	18.8	-3.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.29,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.05,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.09,1	92.8%
TOR 79, CHH 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.15,0.06,0.26,1	92.8%
DET 98, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.27,1	91.1%