NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	6.6 [523]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +46.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	137.9 [6]		LVP	Marcelo Huertas (LAL): -9.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	7	86%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Raul Neto	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	16	46%	0.08	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Chris Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	5	70%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	12	46%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	0.01	-0.12	-0.02	15	55%	-0.00	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,0,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.47	0.47	0.18	0.31	0.02	50	54%	0.51	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.04
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	43%	0.03	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	3.4	28.4	17.4	24.4	3.5	34.4	134.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +26.2%

LAL +12.3%

LAL +15.9%

UTA -5.9%

LAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	14.9	101.1	106.3	105.1
season	16.3	15.2		104.6	100.1
opponent	14.5	15.0		109.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	16.7	14.9	15.3	15.6
LAL	14.9	16.8	15.1	12.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	37	37	0.58	-1.08	1.67	0.03	19	-24	43	14.9	16.1	-1.19	17.5	13.0	4.48
Raul Neto	37	37	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.02	5	-10	15	14.4	16.3	-1.94	15.5	14.2	1.33
Jeff Withey	54	55	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.14	-3	-2	-1	15.6	15.5	0.09	15.8	13.2	2.64
Rodney Hood	36	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.20	-18	13	-31	17.6	14.4	3.26	13.9	15.2	-1.29
Shelvin Mack	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-4	3	15.7	15.2	0.57	14.2	16.3	-2.11
Trevor Booker	61	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-4	3	15.0	16.6	-1.65	13.3	16.9	-3.55
Trey Lyles	75	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	1	-7	16.0	13.9	2.14	14.9	13.9	1.04
Gordon Hayward	60	63	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.38	-12	7	-19	15.4	15.9	-0.51	15.0	14.2	0.86
Joe Ingles	44	44	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.54	-8	3	-11	15.6	15.6	-0.04	12.9	16.3	-3.34

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	58	58	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-5	15	13.5	16.7	-3.19	15.5	15.8	-0.32
Jordan Clarkson	67	66	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.38	9	-4	13	14.8	14.6	0.17	16.4	13.7	2.68
Julius Randle	65	63	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	2	1	15.3	13.5	1.79	15.8	15.2	0.56
Kobe Bryant	83	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-2	9	14.8	14.2	0.64	15.1	19.4	-4.26
D'Angelo Russell	73	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	4	-3	14.6	15.3	-0.71	14.8	18.2	-3.37
Roy Hibbert	39	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.10	3	2	1	16.4	13.5	2.90	16.1	15.3	0.82
Ryan Kelly	4	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	5	-5	7.7	15.0	-7.28	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Marcelo Huertas	50	51	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	5	-5	14.9	14.5	0.37	15.6	15.5	0.12
Tarik Black	36	38	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.00	-8	13	-21	14.4	14.9	-0.45	16.0	15.3	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.29,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.05,1	92.8%
TOR 79, CHH 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.15,0.06,0.26,1	92.2%
DET 98, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.27,1	90.9%