NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	3.4 [1093]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +14.4%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	1.2 [1233]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -10.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	16	60%	0.07	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Bostjan Nachbar	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.04	6	86%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sean Williams	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	75%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Boone	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	45%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Marcus Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	60%	0.06	6	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	13	36%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.02	0.05	16	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	-0.06	15	47%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.03	15	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.01	-0.09	18	44%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	11	57%	0.06	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sean Marks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Strawberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.0	26.2	15.6	25.1	1.7	29.3	125.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +31.5%

NJN -4.1%

PHX +5.4%

PHX +13.6%

PHX +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHX	NBA	NJN	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	15.0	15.4	95.8	119.6	105.7
season	15.4	13.8		101.8	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.5	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.2	14.3	13.8	16.3	14.9
PHX	12.5	17.6	15.0	15.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	16.4	14.7	1.73	10.3	15.4	-5.11
Jason Collins	3	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-22	20	13.3	14.9	-1.59	12.7	15.0	-2.38
Antoine Wright	61	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-17	10	14.5	15.5	-0.92	16.2	12.8	3.35
Malik Allen	9	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-16	8	14.7	14.9	-0.23	20.2	14.4	5.79
Marcus Williams	29	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	-10	-4	14.8	14.9	-0.17	14.9	15.0	-0.10
Josh Boone	59	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-16	8	14.7	15.2	-0.56	14.0	16.5	-2.45
Bostjan Nachbar	33	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	-12	0	14.5	15.1	-0.55	15.0	15.0	0.05
Vince Carter	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.03	-12	-12	0	14.9	14.6	0.37	15.5	12.7	2.84
Sean Williams	51	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.26	-21	-3	-18	15.4	14.3	1.15	14.0	16.0	-2.00
Jason Kidd	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-9	-6	14.7	15.4	-0.71	15.0	14.8	0.28
Richard Jefferson	78	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.13	-19	-5	-14	15.1	13.7	1.42	14.8	15.9	-1.18

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	66	66	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.04	19	5	14	15.4	14.1	1.23	14.5	15.7	-1.15
Boris Diaw	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.19	21	3	18	15.4	13.5	1.95	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Brian Skinner	34	33	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	11	2	15.7	14.6	1.18	14.4	15.1	-0.73
Steve Nash	66	65	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	12	0	15.0	15.0	-0.05	14.9	14.9	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	68	67	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.10	12	12	0	14.5	16.0	-1.52	15.2	14.2	0.96
DJ Strawberry	43	41	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.30	19	5	14	16.1	14.1	2.02	15.3	14.6	0.73
Leandro Barbosa	59	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	18	-12	15.0	14.9	0.17	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Shawn Marion	60	60	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	15	-6	14.5	15.7	-1.14	15.1	14.5	0.64
Eric Piatkowski	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	9.6	15.3	-5.66	15.6	14.8	0.76
Sean Marks	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	9.6	15.3	-5.66	15.6	14.8	0.76
Marcus Banks	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	9.6	15.3	-5.66	15.6	14.8	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 78, SEA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
PHI 93, LAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 102, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.96,1,0.99,1	96.0%