inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 78 Excitement3.7 [1095] MVPLuke Ridnour (SEA): +9.4%
Seattle SuperSonics 108 Comeback1.1 [1205] LVPDoug Christie (SAC): -11.4%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brad Miller0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.031257%0.012-0.00650%-0.03
Darius Songaila0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Erik Daniels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kevin Martin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Greg Ostertag0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Peja Stojakovic-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.031548%0.042-0.043100%0.01
Bobby Jackson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.011238%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Mike Bibby-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.03737%-0.071-0.021050%-0.04
Matt Barnes-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.17-0.00-0.08725%-0.073-0.02617%-0.02
Chris Webber-0.090,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.021332%-0.0900.00887%0.02
Doug Christie-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.02-0.03325%-0.044-0.072100%0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.011168%0.0910.003100%0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00-0.04970%0.084-0.042100%0.00
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mateen Cleaves00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07330%0.0010.00475%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.010.021258%0.011-0.01771%-0.01
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00857%-0.0100.001283%0.01
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.051152%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Jerome James0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.01-0.02440%0.002-0.032100%0.01
Ray Allen0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.01-0.011847%-0.013-0.05786%0.01
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.100.00-0.02325%-0.033-0.0520%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.92.838.015.835.11.837.2161.6
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +29.5%
SEA +7.7%
SEA +15.6%
SAC -5.7%
SEA +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACSEANBASACSEANBA
this game15.115.015.582.1112.5104.0
season14.716.5108.1109.5
opponent15.615.6107.9106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC15.314.616.014.715.1
SEA14.714.815.315.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erik Daniels10100.00-0.500.500.03-1-292811.815.5-3.7315.914.90.98
Kevin Martin10100.00-0.500.500.03-1-292811.815.5-3.7315.914.90.98
Matt Barnes2829-0.01-0.490.49-0.072-323415.115.10.0116.414.42.05
Greg Ostertag1818-0.10-0.400.300.07-6-241815.215.10.1116.914.62.37
Maurice Evans3737-0.10-0.400.290.37-16-14-215.315.00.2615.914.41.51
Darius Songaila2626-0.16-0.340.190.40-19-11-815.215.10.0817.214.22.98
Bobby Jackson4041-0.17-0.330.160.33-17-13-415.414.90.4516.014.31.79
Doug Christie4748-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-211215.414.90.5313.616.4-2.75
Brad Miller7273-0.36-0.14-0.220.31-23-7-1615.514.01.4414.217.5-3.29
Chris Webber6363-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.07-11-19815.414.60.8714.715.5-0.80
Mike Bibby5758-0.45-0.05-0.390.05-17-13-415.015.4-0.3914.316.2-1.93
Peja Stojakovic6767-0.49-0.01-0.490.45-322-3415.115.1-0.0114.416.4-2.05

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rashard Lewis78780.450.050.40-0.312642214.417.7-3.2615.414.11.31
Vladimir Radmanovic62600.390.110.27-0.322461815.114.90.1215.414.60.80
Ray Allen74720.350.150.21-0.322371614.915.3-0.3915.015.6-0.62
Reggie Evans41410.320.180.14-0.091416-214.015.8-1.7815.115.2-0.07
Antonio Daniels45450.310.190.12-0.452642215.114.90.2115.015.2-0.18
Luke Ridnour59590.270.230.04-0.021020-1015.414.50.8715.714.21.56
Jerome James24250.160.34-0.18-0.07822-1414.315.3-0.9716.414.71.77
Nick Collison29280.140.36-0.23-0.10822-1415.914.61.2514.215.5-1.26
Danny Fortson39390.120.38-0.27-0.181020-1016.314.12.1716.214.41.73
Damien Wilkins10100.000.50-0.49-0.03129-2814.815.0-0.2511.615.6-3.95
Robert Swift10100.000.50-0.50-0.03129-2815.914.90.9811.815.5-3.73
Mateen Cleaves980.000.50-0.500.03-131-3215.415.00.4711.015.5-4.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 92, PHX 1160.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
PHX 97, UTA 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,196.0%
UTA 91, SAC 1110.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%