NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	102		Excitement	4.3 [969]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): +8.8%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.2 [778]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): -7.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	6	86%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Seth Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.03	23	57%	0.09	6	-0.11	12	92%	0.04
CJ McCollum	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	19	45%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.00	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	12	63%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	8	57%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	5	58%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	14	57%	0.07	2	-0.02	9	78%	0.02
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	52%	0.02	3	-0.05	5	60%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	11	35%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	12	38%	-0.00	3	-0.06	5	60%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	28.1	14.8	31.5	1.8	31.4	136.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +19.4%

POR -1.7%

DAL +12.6%

DAL +16.4%

DAL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	13.5	14.7	14.3	100.0	108.8	109.3
season	14.9	14.7		112.6	108.5
opponent	14.1	13.9		109.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	14.9	13.1	11.5	13.5
DAL	15.2	13.9	13.6	16.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	50	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-9	9	13.3	13.7	-0.33	15.2	14.3	0.85
Nik Stauskas	30	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-9	9	14.2	13.2	0.93	14.7	14.7	-0.07
CJ McCollum	82	84	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.46	9	-18	27	13.0	15.4	-2.41	15.0	13.6	1.42
Seth Curry	20	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	0	-9	15.8	12.9	2.91	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Jusuf Nurkic	60	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-9	9	13.6	13.3	0.30	15.1	14.1	0.95
Meyers Leonard	14	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	2	-13	15.5	13.2	2.31	15.6	14.6	1.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	70	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.36	5	-14	19	13.0	14.7	-1.67	14.9	14.3	0.60
Zach Collins	37	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-1	-7	13.9	13.3	0.64	14.7	14.7	-0.02
Damian Lillard	81	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	3	-15	13.0	15.3	-2.24	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Evan Turner	66	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.01	-19	10	-29	13.6	13.4	0.19	13.9	16.2	-2.27

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	67	66	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	4	1	14.6	15.1	-0.50	13.3	13.8	-0.46
DeAndre Jordan	65	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	5	-1	15.2	14.0	1.18	13.7	13.1	0.64
Luka Doncic	67	66	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	5	-1	14.9	14.3	0.63	13.3	14.0	-0.71
Dennis Smith Jr.	65	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	7	-5	14.8	14.6	0.16	13.3	13.9	-0.56
Maxi Kleber	34	34	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	1	7	14.5	14.9	-0.38	14.2	13.1	1.09
Harrison Barnes	68	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	8	-7	14.9	14.5	0.38	13.1	14.2	-1.09
Dorian Finney-Smith	38	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	4	1	13.9	15.2	-1.24	13.2	13.7	-0.53
J.J. Barea	36	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	2	5	15.0	14.6	0.42	13.9	13.3	0.56
Dwight Powell	34	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	4	1	14.4	14.9	-0.56	13.9	13.3	0.62
Devin Harris	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	5	-1	14.7	14.8	-0.09	13.8	13.3	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.96,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, ATL 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DAL 84, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
HOU 71, PHX 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%