NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	3.7 [1038]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +25.4%
Toronto Raptors	116		Comeback	1.8 [766]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -8.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.00	-0.04	12	73%	0.11	4	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	7	80%	0.15	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	9	56%	0.06	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	4	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	10	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.12	15	63%	-0.02	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.26	0.04	0.05	12	91%	0.29	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.25	0.04	0.15	11	96%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	11	77%	0.12	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	10	57%	0.07	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	8	55%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	13	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	26.9	16.8	27.2	2.6	28.2	127.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +20.0%

TOR +9.3%

TOR +15.6%

TOR +5.5%

SAC -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	TOR	NBA	SAC	TOR	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.4	96.8	123.4	105.7
season	14.9	15.6		105.6	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.0		105.6	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.9	18.2	14.2	14.8	14.5
TOR	12.9	17.8	16.4	18.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Douby	8	9	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-32	39	16.4	14.3	2.06	18.6	15.9	2.66
Justin Williams	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-28	31	7.5	14.6	-7.14	18.0	16.1	1.91
Spencer Hawes	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	9.8	14.8	-4.97	18.8	16.0	2.80
Brad Miller	70	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-25	25	14.1	15.6	-1.52	15.7	17.6	-1.88
Beno Udrih	36	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-19	13	15.1	14.1	1.05	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Metta World Peace	58	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	-12	-1	14.0	15.2	-1.19	16.6	15.4	1.19
Mike Bibby	57	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.25	-17	-8	-9	14.0	15.2	-1.20	16.4	15.8	0.65
Francisco Garcia	56	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.17	-15	-10	-5	15.4	13.2	2.15	16.8	15.3	1.53
Kevin Martin	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.17	-20	-5	-15	14.6	14.2	0.39	16.2	16.1	0.02
John Salmons	60	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.47	-33	8	-41	14.6	14.3	0.35	15.1	18.0	-2.90
Mikki Moore	59	60	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.21	-28	3	-31	14.8	13.9	0.87	16.0	16.4	-0.32

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	82	83	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.19	28	-3	31	15.7	19.2	-3.55	14.5	14.6	-0.17
Chris Bosh	84	84	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.22	29	-4	33	15.8	19.4	-3.64	14.5	14.3	0.21
Anthony Parker	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.25	21	4	17	16.2	16.1	0.01	13.6	16.0	-2.45
Jamario Moon	41	42	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.17	15	10	5	16.6	15.8	0.73	13.3	15.5	-2.18
Andrea Bargnani	51	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	19	-13	16.0	16.3	-0.37	14.5	14.5	-0.04
Carlos Delfino	62	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.24	16	9	7	16.5	15.6	0.89	15.2	13.1	2.16
Jason Kapono	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	19	-13	16.0	16.2	-0.27	16.6	13.4	3.24
Kris Humphries	40	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.19	11	14	-3	16.0	16.2	-0.22	15.3	13.9	1.44
Darrick Martin	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	18.0	16.1	1.91	9.7	14.6	-4.98
Joey Graham	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	18.7	16.0	2.72	7.2	14.8	-7.56
Juan Dixon	12	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.04	-3	28	-31	19.2	15.7	3.55	14.6	14.5	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 80, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
ATL 86, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHA 92, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%