NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	80		Excitement	3.9 [1010]		MVP	Steve Novak (HOU): +9.0%
Houston Rockets	103		Comeback	1.7 [1248]		LVP	Jeff Green (SEA): -11.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.03	14	47%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	23	49%	-0.02	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Francisco Elson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	0.07	19	43%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	13	23%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.02	0.03	12	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	11	70%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Loren Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.02	0.02	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	11	69%	0.10	6	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Michael Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	10	35%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	0.08	8	69%	-0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	26.7	15.0	26.2	2.7	25.2	121.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +61.6%

HOU +3.0%

SEA -3.7%

SEA -12.6%

HOU +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.4	86.0	110.8	105.7
season	14.5	16.2		99.1	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.7	14.7	14.4	15.4	15.0
HOU	14.3	15.9	14.4	19.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	32	32	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-25	27	14.2	15.5	-1.29	16.6	15.6	1.05
Johan Petro	43	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-27	31	13.4	16.4	-3.00	15.7	16.1	-0.40
Ronald Dupree	13	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-20	17	16.2	14.8	1.39	17.1	15.8	1.31
Kevin Durant	76	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-15	7	14.6	16.9	-2.34	15.4	18.2	-2.74
Nick Collison	73	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	-12	1	15.4	13.8	1.51	15.8	16.3	-0.46
Damien Wilkins	57	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-13	3	13.9	16.9	-3.03	17.4	13.5	3.88
Earl Watson	71	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.22	-23	0	-23	16.0	11.9	4.15	15.8	16.4	-0.61
Francisco Elson	39	40	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.16	-26	3	-29	16.4	14.1	2.28	14.7	16.8	-2.12
Jeff Green	61	61	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	0.32	-40	17	-57	15.6	13.9	1.67	15.8	16.1	-0.29

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	4	15	17.2	14.4	2.76	14.5	15.7	-1.25
Steve Novak	57	56	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	4	15	17.1	14.1	2.98	14.2	16.2	-1.97
Luis Scola	56	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	13	-3	14.5	18.1	-3.52	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Bobby Jackson	38	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	13	-3	17.9	14.6	3.27	14.7	15.2	-0.50
Luther Head	47	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	15	-7	14.7	17.2	-2.54	15.9	14.1	1.78
Rafer Alston	57	57	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	16	-9	14.3	18.5	-4.23	14.8	15.3	-0.49
Dikembe Mutombo	37	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	15	-7	14.5	16.9	-2.41	16.0	14.4	1.61
Aaron Brooks	31	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.17	10	13	-3	17.7	15.0	2.66	15.2	14.9	0.28
Shane Battier	36	37	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	19	-15	14.1	17.1	-2.98	16.2	14.2	1.97
Michael Harris	13	12	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.25	11	12	-1	17.8	15.6	2.13	12.9	15.3	-2.43
Carl Landry	38	39	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	21	-19	17.4	14.9	2.42	15.1	15.0	0.12
Loren Woods	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	16	-9	20.7	15.8	4.89	14.0	15.1	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 91, TOR 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
HOU 79, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
WAS 66, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%