NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	99		Excitement	2.6 [1232]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (NOH): +7.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	85		Comeback	1.0 [557]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -8.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.00	-0.05	10	52%	0.08	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.05	8	85%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	12	52%	0.04	0	0.00	9	89%	0.00
David West	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	15	62%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Julian Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	36%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	12	37%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hilton Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	1	50%	-0.01	5	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	12	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.03	4	73%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	5	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.12	0.00	0.14	19	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	16	38%	-0.03	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.15	0.00	-0.09	4	0%	-0.02	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	10	20%	-0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	26.3	16.3	27.7	2.7	28.0	126.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +33.3%

NOH +1.9%

NOH +7.5%

NOH +5.2%

NOH +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CHA	NBA	NOH	CHA	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.4	104.2	89.5	105.7
season	15.9	15.8		109.6	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.7		107.8	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.4	14.6	14.6	19.6	15.5
CHA	19.4	14.2	13.7	12.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.21	21	-7	28	14.4	17.2	-2.81	15.5	13.6	1.91
David West	70	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	-4	22	15.2	16.4	-1.24	14.9	14.4	0.55
Chris Paul	66	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.18	20	-6	26	14.7	17.4	-2.67	15.1	13.9	1.26
Tyson Chandler	66	66	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	1	12	15.4	15.9	-0.48	15.3	13.7	1.58
Morris Peterson	53	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	-1	16	14.1	17.3	-3.15	15.5	13.9	1.65
Bobby Jackson	42	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	15	-16	17.3	14.1	3.15	13.9	15.5	-1.65
Hilton Armstrong	29	29	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	13	-12	15.9	15.4	0.48	13.7	15.3	-1.58
Jannero Pargo	29	27	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.27	-6	20	-26	17.4	14.7	2.67	13.9	15.1	-1.26
Julian Wright	25	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	18	-22	16.4	15.2	1.24	14.4	14.9	-0.55
Rasual Butler	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.30	-7	21	-28	17.2	14.4	2.81	13.6	15.5	-1.91

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	21	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-11	8	12.9	15.3	-2.42	14.0	16.0	-2.02
Matt Carroll	41	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-13	12	13.2	16.0	-2.85	17.4	14.1	3.32
Derek Anderson	27	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-10	6	14.1	15.0	-0.90	16.0	15.3	0.71
Jeff McInnis	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-11	8	14.4	15.0	-0.65	16.0	15.3	0.72
Raymond Felton	59	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	15.0	14.4	0.65	15.3	16.0	-0.72
Emeka Okafor	64	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	1	-16	15.1	14.2	0.93	14.8	17.0	-2.15
Nazr Mohammed	59	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-2	-10	16.3	12.3	3.95	15.0	16.4	-1.48
Jason Richardson	76	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-6	-2	15.0	14.1	0.86	15.7	14.8	0.85
Gerald Wallace	92	92	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	-1	-12	14.8	14.0	0.82	15.6	13.0	2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 138, SEA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
UTA 97, MIN 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
MIA 110, OKC 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0	97.4%