NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	138		Excitement	2.9 [1188]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (DEN): +9.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	96		Comeback	1.1 [1185]		LVP	Kevin Durant (SEA): -9.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	14	77%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.15	0.00	0.08	18	79%	0.13	5	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Carter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	4	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.09	9	83%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	57%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Taurean Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	13	57%	0.06	6	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	13	62%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.05	13	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	15	42%	0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	7	56%	0.05	6	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	17	37%	-0.04	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	27.2	14.8	26.2	1.6	28.0	123.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +50.4%

SEA -3.3%

DEN +7.1%

SEA -3.0%

SEA -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SEA	NBA	DEN	SEA	NBA
this game	11.5	15.7	15.4	130.2	90.6	105.7
season	13.3	14.5		108.2	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.2		107.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.5	12.2	11.1	10.0	11.5
SEA	13.7	15.0	16.0	18.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	69	70	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.28	25	17	8	11.6	11.2	0.36	14.6	17.9	-3.25
Allen Iverson	77	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.44	29	13	16	12.2	9.6	2.62	15.3	16.8	-1.48
Carmelo Anthony	68	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	24	-6	11.7	10.9	0.83	14.7	17.6	-2.93
Anthony Carter	84	84	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.57	32	10	22	11.3	12.0	-0.75	15.9	14.9	1.02
Marcus Camby	83	82	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.44	27	15	12	12.3	8.3	4.08	15.2	17.6	-2.41
Linas Kleiza	51	50	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.49	26	16	10	12.8	10.2	2.60	15.5	15.9	-0.41
J.R. Smith	50	51	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.73	33	9	24	10.8	12.1	-1.27	16.6	14.9	1.79
Steven Hunter	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	36	-30	6.9	12.1	-5.21	19.9	15.1	4.85
Taurean Green	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	36	-30	6.9	12.1	-5.21	19.9	15.1	4.85
Yakhouba Diawara	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	34	-26	8.8	12.1	-3.27	18.4	15.1	3.29

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-33	24	21.1	15.0	6.05	5.6	12.2	-6.62
Adrian Griffin	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-33	24	21.1	15.0	6.05	5.6	12.2	-6.62
Ira Newble	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-33	24	21.1	15.0	6.05	5.6	12.2	-6.62
Donyell Marshall	19	20	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-34	26	18.4	15.1	3.29	8.8	12.1	-3.27
Mickael Gelabale	62	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.39	-19	-23	4	16.1	15.2	0.84	10.5	12.7	-2.18
Nick Collison	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	-26	10	15.0	16.1	-1.13	12.1	11.2	0.90
Damien Wilkins	44	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.49	-26	-16	-10	15.6	15.8	-0.22	12.8	10.5	2.33
Chris Wilcox	76	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.32	-22	-20	-2	14.6	18.4	-3.79	11.7	10.9	0.78
Luke Ridnour	38	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	-28	14	14.7	16.3	-1.53	12.5	10.9	1.67
Kevin Durant	77	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.35	-24	-18	-6	14.9	17.8	-2.86	12.1	9.8	2.31
Jeff Green	73	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.36	-25	-17	-8	15.1	17.2	-2.08	12.1	10.0	2.08
Johan Petro	69	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.44	-29	-13	-16	15.6	15.9	-0.31	12.7	9.1	3.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 99, CHA 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.5%
CHI 100, CHA 68	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
UTA 97, MIN 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%