inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 96 Excitement8.6 [149] MVPTravis Outlaw (POR): +17.6%
Portland Trail Blazers 99 Comeback4.2 [364] LVPBrandon Roy (POR): -28.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.050,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.19,0.050.13-0.070.012656%0.0500.00967%-0.02
Linas Kleiza0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.030.020.01-0.00855%0.061-0.03450%-0.02
Allen Iverson0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.030.08-0.08-0.032653%0.102-0.071292%0.05
Anthony Carter-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.000.00383%0.032-0.0400%0.00
J.R. Smith-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.01350%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jelani McCoy-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.011100%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Eduardo Najera-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,-0.090.00-0.090.00367%0.101-0.1900%0.00
Bobby Jones-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.0010%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.07-0.09-0.00819%-0.1600.0000%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.180.18-0.030.20-0.011143%0.201-0.02667%0.02
Martell Webster0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.00-0.001276%0.161-0.031100%0.01
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.04-0.00778%0.233-0.14475%-0.08
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.030.00667%0.0800.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.030.011650%0.071-0.04450%-0.07
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.04-0.00275%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01-0.01-0.030.020.00450%0.052-0.072100%0.03
Sergio Rodriguez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Roy0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28-0.28-0.06-0.220.001543%-0.232-0.051283%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.11.031.215.325.62.537.4139.1
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +37.7%
POR +8.8%
DEN -5.7%
POR +0.4%
POR +8.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPORNBADENPORNBA
this game14.517.115.4105.5108.8105.7
season13.316.7108.2105.5
opponent15.415.2106.1105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN11.615.615.416.114.5
POR16.117.117.318.117.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Carter69700.22-0.720.95-0.1613-162913.816.9-3.1116.917.7-0.80
Jelani McCoy37360.03-0.530.560.06-1-2113.415.4-2.0216.917.2-0.30
J.R. Smith1616-0.04-0.460.42-0.102-5716.114.21.9116.417.3-0.88
Carmelo Anthony7877-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.384-71114.117.5-3.4917.316.01.30
Eduardo Najera4646-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.270-3315.114.01.0416.817.4-0.55
Bobby Jones2424-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.17-118-1916.613.82.7618.016.81.28
Allen Iverson8685-0.510.01-0.52-0.36-52-714.416.4-1.9617.116.80.28
Linas Kleiza6465-0.570.07-0.63-0.42-52-714.215.3-1.0617.316.70.57
Chucky Atkins3536-0.610.11-0.71-0.25-129-2116.513.43.1016.917.2-0.30

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarrett Jack49500.76-0.261.020.4411-81917.616.51.1616.112.63.53
Travis Outlaw42420.66-0.160.820.3710-71717.716.61.1016.213.23.00
James Jones49480.63-0.130.760.514-1516.517.8-1.2316.013.02.98
Channing Frye37370.360.140.220.128-51317.217.00.2015.214.11.08
LaMarcus Aldridge63650.260.240.020.2312-117.017.3-0.3214.115.7-1.65
Steve Blake52510.230.27-0.030.1821117.416.70.6213.515.9-2.50
Brandon Roy74740.170.33-0.160.29-47-1116.420.4-4.0014.017.0-3.01
Sergio Rodriguez78-0.040.54-0.59-0.01-14-519.316.92.3715.514.51.04
Joel Przybilla2827-0.190.69-0.88-0.01-69-1516.717.3-0.6112.715.3-2.57
Martell Webster5453-0.340.84-1.17-0.04-1013-2317.416.60.7613.216.4-3.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.38,0.48,0.72,0.81,0.69,0.6,0.78,0.86,0.63,0.57,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 86, UTA 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.48,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.58,189.7%
WAS 84, IND 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.45,0.75,0.73,189.5%
CLE 98, LAL 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.38,0.48,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.57,0.58,189.5%