NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	86		Excitement	8.6 [166]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +44.8%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	10.3 [90]		LVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): -22.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.25	0.01	0.26	0.01	15	50%	0.33	2	-0.07	10	40%	-0.10
Lamar Odom	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.11	0.01	17	62%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	9	45%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.32,-0.32,-0.21	-0.16	-0.07	-0.02	24	32%	-0.15	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.45	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.00	17	57%	0.49	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.06
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.23	0.23	-0.07	0.30	0.00	7	50%	0.32	4	-0.09	12	58%	-0.04
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	8	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	13	42%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	9	35%	-0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	12	40%	-0.09	3	-0.14	6	67%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.8	32.2	20.4	29.5	3.4	41.5	157.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +60.0%

UTA +4.2%

UTA +7.8%

LAL -25.5%

UTA +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	15.5	94.5	96.7	106.4
season	14.9	15.3		110.6	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.4	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.5	15.7	17.8	16.7	16.7
UTA	13.0	18.6	14.1	14.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	2	3	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-4	6	16.5	16.7	-0.19	24.7	14.6	10.03
Andrew Bynum	13	14	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-2	2	17.8	16.5	1.27	14.8	15.0	-0.21
Sasha Vujacic	15	16	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-2	2	18.3	16.4	1.98	16.6	14.6	1.94
Luke Walton	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-2	2	18.9	16.3	2.57	17.7	14.5	3.25
Lamar Odom	79	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.44	7	-9	16	16.6	17.4	-0.85	15.0	14.6	0.47
Derek Fisher	74	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-2	2	16.2	18.7	-2.49	14.6	16.6	-2.05
Shannon Brown	17	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	0	-2	18.7	16.2	2.49	16.6	14.6	2.05
Trevor Ariza	74	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	2	-6	16.5	17.6	-1.12	14.5	16.8	-2.33
Kobe Bryant	83	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	5	-12	16.3	20.5	-4.19	14.6	19.1	-4.52
Pau Gasol	84	83	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.46	-6	4	-10	16.5	18.7	-2.20	14.6	19.1	-4.56

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	47	48	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.43	9	-7	16	16.2	13.7	2.53	16.9	16.4	0.54
Deron Williams	85	86	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-5	12	15.0	14.2	0.86	16.4	21.4	-4.99
CJ Miles	17	17	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	-4	10	13.8	15.2	-1.41	18.5	16.3	2.20
Paul Millsap	72	70	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.49	-6	8	-14	15.1	14.4	0.69	16.7	16.5	0.20
Matt Harpring	23	25	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	-5	12	14.1	15.2	-1.12	18.0	16.2	1.87
Carlos Boozer	67	67	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.33	-2	4	-6	14.9	15.1	-0.21	16.2	18.0	-1.79
Ronnie Brewer	71	71	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.28	-1	3	-4	14.7	15.7	-1.00	16.4	17.6	-1.24
Jarron Collins	14	14	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	-2	6	13.5	15.2	-1.73	17.0	16.6	0.38
Brevin Knight	6	5	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	7	-12	14.2	15.0	-0.86	21.4	16.4	4.99
Andrei Kirilenko	53	52	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.01	-9	11	-20	15.2	14.7	0.49	16.0	17.5	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.48,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 106, CLE 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.84,0.85,1	90.4%
MEM 80, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.53,0.45,0.67,0.91,1	90.0%
IND 110, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.73,1	89.9%