NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	113		Excitement	9.6 [76]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +44.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	117		Comeback	24.2 [54]		LVP	Michael Redd (MIL): -25.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.10	-0.00	10	76%	0.26	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Andrew Bogut	0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	16	55%	0.19	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Charlie Bell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	4	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.14	0.14	-0.28	0.00	23	65%	0.05	3	-0.19	5	100%	0.06
Michael Redd	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.16,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.25	-0.17	-0.10	-0.01	23	35%	-0.15	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.45	0.45	0.18	0.27	0.01	13	87%	0.50	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.21	0.01	15	71%	0.36	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.10
Steve Blake	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	12	70%	0.18	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.05
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	11	53%	0.05	0	0.00	16	87%	0.07
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	64%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.09	0.00	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	0.7	30.4	15.6	24.1	2.5	35.2	2.5	22.8	158.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +64.9%

POR +21.6%

MIL -22.7%

MIL -9.9%

MIL -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	POR	NBA	MIL	POR	NBA
this game	16.6	16.2	15.4	115.3	121.9	105.7
season	15.8	16.7		103.4	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		106.1	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	15.7	18.3	16.1	15.6	18.2	16.6
POR	17.9	16.0	16.6	15.7	13.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	20	21	0.65	-1.15	1.80	0.03	21	-25	46	13.2	17.4	-4.16	17.1	16.0	1.12
Charlie Villanueva	50	50	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.04	5	-9	14	16.5	16.6	-0.17	15.5	17.0	-1.46
Charlie Bell	44	44	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.13	-1	-3	2	15.5	17.4	-1.93	15.3	17.0	-1.70
Desmond Mason	34	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	1	-6	16.9	16.4	0.54	18.3	15.1	3.26
Royal Ivey	58	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-8	12	16.6	16.4	0.19	15.3	17.5	-2.28
Yi Jianlian	36	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	1	-6	15.9	16.9	-0.97	18.4	15.0	3.30
Mo Williams	84	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-2	0	16.4	17.6	-1.18	16.0	17.2	-1.17
Michael Redd	76	75	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.57	-8	4	-12	17.3	14.1	3.19	16.6	15.0	1.62
Andrew Bogut	78	75	-1.15	0.65	-1.80	-0.42	-25	21	-46	17.4	13.2	4.16	16.0	17.1	-1.12

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	77	77	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.57	9	-5	14	16.3	15.8	0.47	17.1	14.6	2.47
Martell Webster	57	56	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.44	7	-3	10	16.7	15.5	1.15	17.2	15.6	1.61
Travis Outlaw	54	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-6	16	15.2	17.5	-2.24	16.5	16.7	-0.23
Joel Przybilla	34	36	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	-1	6	16.8	15.9	0.85	16.0	16.9	-0.89
Brandon Roy	81	83	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	1	2	16.6	14.1	2.55	16.7	15.8	0.90
Sergio Rodriguez	7	8	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	1	2	15.3	16.3	-1.01	16.6	16.6	0.07
Raef LaFrentz	6	5	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	1	2	11.2	16.6	-5.39	15.2	16.6	-1.43
LaMarcus Aldridge	57	60	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	8	-12	17.0	15.0	2.01	16.7	16.3	0.44
James Jones	45	48	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	11	-18	16.2	16.3	-0.12	16.1	17.0	-0.90
Channing Frye	21	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	6	-8	15.9	16.3	-0.46	15.0	16.9	-1.90
Jarrett Jack	41	41	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.11	-7	11	-18	15.5	16.8	-1.32	16.1	16.9	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.89,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.52,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.47,0.45,0.21,0.06,0.17,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.16,0.13,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	88.5%
HOU 121, SAS 124	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.67,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.36,0.23,0.04,0.54,0.31,0.29,0.45,0.26,1	87.2%
CHH 89, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.41,0.2,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.42,1	87.0%