NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	4.9 [824]		MVP	Zach Randolph (NYK): +22.0%
New Jersey Nets	93		Comeback	1.2 [418]		LVP	Jamaal Magloire (NJN): -10.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.07	0.01	15	71%	0.24	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
David Lee	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	6	76%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	17	60%	0.12	3	-0.07	14	86%	0.01
Fred Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	11	48%	0.05	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	8	44%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Malik Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	3	87%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	23	54%	0.11	4	-0.12	11	100%	0.06
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	53%	0.03	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	17	47%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.08	8	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	37.3	15.4	26.8	2.0	38.3	147.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +40.1%

NYK +3.6%

NJN -12.6%

NYK +14.5%

NYK +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	16.7	16.0	15.4	113.6	105.7	105.7
season	15.7	15.4		103.1	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.9	17.0	17.7	14.7	16.7
NJN	16.4	13.8	16.6	17.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	78	79	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.14	12	-5	17	17.2	13.2	3.99	15.3	22.2	-6.94
Quentin Richardson	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-4	15	16.7	17.0	-0.32	15.6	17.6	-2.00
David Lee	70	68	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	-2	11	16.6	17.4	-0.82	16.5	14.4	2.06
Jamal Crawford	83	84	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	2	3	16.9	14.8	2.06	15.9	17.2	-1.32
Fred Jones	76	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	6	-5	16.9	15.4	1.53	15.7	17.8	-2.14
Renaldo Balkman	18	19	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	6	-5	16.4	16.8	-0.44	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Nate Robinson	13	10	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	8	-9	13.8	17.2	-3.39	20.3	15.4	4.86
Malik Rose	8	9	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	7	-7	17.6	16.6	0.97	15.4	16.1	-0.61
Jared Jeffries	23	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	10	-13	16.4	16.9	-0.47	17.8	15.4	2.43

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Williams	12	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	0	-7	12.4	16.6	-4.14	17.5	16.6	0.82
Eddie Gill	40	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-1	-5	17.4	14.8	2.54	17.0	16.5	0.56
Jason Collins	48	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-1	-5	15.6	16.5	-0.94	17.3	16.0	1.35
Jamaal Magloire	49	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-5	3	16.3	15.6	0.62	16.6	16.9	-0.35
Bostjan Nachbar	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-6	5	15.9	16.3	-0.38	16.0	18.9	-2.88
Richard Jefferson	80	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	15.7	18.9	-3.17	16.8	16.3	0.45
Malik Allen	70	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	16.3	14.8	1.52	16.7	16.8	-0.09
Vince Carter	84	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	15.9	17.2	-1.32	16.9	14.8	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.5%
POR 98, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	94.7%
DET 105, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%