NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	5.1 [803]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +23.2%
Boston Celtics	98		Comeback	1.2 [1103]		LVP	Delonte West (BOS): -13.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.08	25	68%	0.28	2	-0.05	13	77%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	3	90%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	73%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.04	7	81%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	18	51%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	43%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.02	7	94%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.02	0.05	14	74%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	17	56%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Allan Ray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	11	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	13	36%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.6	31.0	16.8	26.1	2.5	27.2	132.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.8%

LAL +7.2%

LAL +5.4%

BOS -3.1%

LAL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.6	15.4	122.0	107.7	104.5
season	15.3	15.5		106.3	101.7
opponent	15.3	14.9		105.2	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.2	16.4	15.3	19.7	16.0
BOS	15.6	14.9	16.7	15.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Smush Parker	69	69	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.07	24	-11	35	15.1	18.8	-3.67	15.7	15.4	0.33
Kobe Bryant	79	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-7	27	15.8	17.7	-1.98	15.5	16.2	-0.73
Lamar Odom	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-3	19	15.5	19.5	-3.99	15.6	15.4	0.23
Ronny Turiaf	48	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	2	9	16.0	16.1	-0.07	15.7	15.5	0.15
Shammond Williams	8	7	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	5	3	14.4	16.2	-1.82	17.9	15.4	2.43
Maurice Evans	54	55	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	12	-11	17.7	13.6	4.15	15.0	16.5	-1.46
Vladimir Radmanovic	55	53	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	13	-13	15.7	16.6	-0.96	15.6	15.7	-0.07
Andrew Bynum	38	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	11	-9	16.0	16.1	-0.10	16.3	15.1	1.21
Sasha Vujacic	3	4	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	19	-25	19.0	15.9	3.07	13.7	15.7	-1.95
Jordan Farmar	22	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	24	-35	18.8	15.1	3.67	15.4	15.7	-0.33

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Ray	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	8.0	16.0	-7.97	16.8	16.0	0.81
Wally Szczerbiak	41	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-17	21	13.7	17.2	-3.52	17.3	15.1	2.14
Rajon Rondo	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-18	23	14.7	16.2	-1.43	17.1	15.3	1.78
Brian Scalabrine	49	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-12	11	15.1	16.2	-1.16	17.4	14.5	2.93
Gerald Green	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-7	1	15.9	14.7	1.17	16.3	15.1	1.24
Al Jefferson	70	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-7	1	16.1	14.0	2.04	15.7	17.1	-1.37
Kendrick Perkins	45	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	0	-13	16.9	14.4	2.52	15.0	17.0	-2.00
Delonte West	71	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.02	-21	8	-29	16.0	14.4	1.56	15.3	18.7	-3.42
Ryan Gomes	71	71	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	0.10	-27	14	-41	16.1	14.0	2.07	15.2	18.9	-3.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	95.9%
NYK 100, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0	95.5%
NJN 104, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%