NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Excitement	5.4 [710]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +26.4%
Dallas Mavericks	109		Comeback	1.1 [1283]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -9.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.12	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	19	60%	0.13	1	-0.01	14	64%	-0.03
Craig Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	81%	0.15	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Sebastian Telfair	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	14	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	60%	0.08	6	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	17	51%	0.00	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Greg Buckner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.10	-0.01	13	69%	0.27	1	-0.00	13	100%	0.10
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.02	0.01	6	88%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	10	85%	0.22	3	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	3	80%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	17	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.4	26.5	16.4	29.6	2.3	32.3	137.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +27.3%

DAL +13.7%

DAL +4.6%

DAL +3.3%

DAL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.4	109.6	114.7	105.7
season	15.9	16.1		102.2	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.0		105.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.8	15.0	15.1	15.3	15.6
DAL	12.0	15.0	16.9	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	20	20	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.16	10	-16	26	13.3	16.2	-2.88	15.3	14.8	0.49
Antoine Walker	56	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-11	16	14.7	16.8	-2.06	14.5	15.6	-1.10
Ryan Gomes	31	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-1	-4	16.7	15.0	1.66	15.5	14.7	0.80
Mark Madsen	25	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	1	-8	17.7	14.8	2.88	16.3	14.4	1.90
Craig Smith	41	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-2	-2	14.7	16.2	-1.56	14.1	15.5	-1.43
Greg Buckner	30	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	4	-14	16.6	15.1	1.47	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Sebastian Telfair	53	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-3	0	15.2	16.0	-0.77	14.6	15.3	-0.71
Marko Jaric	80	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	15.3	16.9	-1.52	14.6	16.7	-2.11
Rashad McCants	68	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	15.8	14.9	0.89	15.3	13.9	1.42
Al Jefferson	66	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	0	-6	16.0	14.5	1.52	15.3	14.0	1.28

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	56	56	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.17	14	-8	22	14.8	15.1	-0.32	17.1	13.3	3.86
Devin Harris	71	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-3	12	15.1	14.4	0.67	15.9	14.5	1.44
Josh Howard	75	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	2	2	15.6	12.2	3.38	15.9	13.9	2.00
Jason Terry	71	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-4	14	14.4	16.3	-1.90	16.0	14.3	1.71
Dirk Nowitzki	68	67	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	8	-10	14.9	14.9	0.09	15.2	16.4	-1.13
Brandon Bass	47	46	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	4	-2	15.1	14.7	0.34	14.3	16.7	-2.42
Jerry Stackhouse	44	42	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	8	-10	14.5	15.3	-0.82	14.1	16.7	-2.57
DeSagana Diop	19	19	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	14.8	14.9	-0.16	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Jose Juan Barea	24	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	9	-12	14.4	15.1	-0.67	14.5	15.9	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,0.98,0.91,1	95.6%
MIA 92, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.91,1	95.0%
SAC 82, SEA 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	95.0%