inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 92 Excitement5.4 [764] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +34.5%
Los Angeles Lakers 100 Comeback1.3 [1062] LVPJason Williams (MIA): -8.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.090.060.01-0.012453%0.111-0.031675%0.02
James Posey0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.03-0.00861%0.0800.002100%0.02
Gary Payton-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00743%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.030.031450%-0.011-0.02825%-0.12
Udonis Haslem-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.04-0.021054%0.032-0.06475%0.03
Antoine Walker-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.02-0.03831%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.0020%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jason Williams-0.080,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.011025%-0.061-0.0200%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.350.350.190.14-0.012465%0.361-0.029100%0.05
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.10.100.100.020.01971%0.121-0.026100%0.03
Andrew Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Mihm0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00-0.011050%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00350%0.0100.002100%0.01
Smush Parker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,00.00-0.050.04-0.02728%0.0000.00475%-0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.001259%0.074-0.09887%0.02
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00325%-0.0400.0020%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.834.120.532.43.339.5157.7
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +41.8%
LAL +11.0%
LAL +2.2%
MIA -8.2%
LAL +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIALALNBAMIALALNBA
this game16.216.915.6105.7114.9104.4
season15.515.6106.1106.2
opponent15.515.5104.3102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.116.215.616.816.2
LAL15.917.317.916.716.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alonzo Mourning28290.06-0.560.62-0.064-121615.216.6-1.4020.115.44.74
Udonis Haslem6262-0.24-0.260.03-0.271-91016.615.01.5716.917.1-0.19
Jason Williams4748-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-146-2017.215.02.2016.117.9-1.78
Antoine Walker3232-0.29-0.21-0.080.00-102-1215.316.7-1.3417.416.70.78
Gary Payton5758-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.300-8815.317.7-2.4017.615.61.98
James Posey7373-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.28-2-6416.216.10.1116.519.3-2.79
Shaquille O'Neal5856-0.550.05-0.61-0.26-102-1216.715.11.5315.918.8-2.90
Dwyane Wade7877-0.560.06-0.61-0.29-91-1016.116.8-0.6916.818.3-1.53

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant75760.62-0.120.740.2114-62016.122.2-6.0616.613.03.62
Smush Parker74750.52-0.020.530.259-11016.320.6-4.3215.719.1-3.39
Lamar Odom75750.350.150.190.2635-216.420.5-4.1316.215.70.57
Kwame Brown55560.310.190.120.2526-417.116.60.5515.816.9-1.10
Devean George49480.230.27-0.040.2017-617.416.41.0215.417.1-1.66
Chris Mihm38380.180.32-0.140.0353217.416.60.9017.615.12.52
Luke Walton24220.170.33-0.17-0.0162418.616.32.3216.016.2-0.28
Andrew Bynum780.080.42-0.340.0226-413.417.2-3.8214.916.3-1.42
Brian Cook18180.050.45-0.390.0508-817.216.90.3517.115.91.20
Sasha Vujacic2019-0.000.50-0.510.06-210-1220.915.75.2015.916.2-0.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 103, DAL 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,1,195.0%
MIA 80, BOS 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,0.98,0.91,194.9%
CHI 107, WAS 1120.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.96,0.91,194.6%