NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	109		Excitement	4.9 [827]		MVP	Josh Childress (ATL): +17.0%
Atlanta Hawks	117		Comeback	1.0 [905]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -12.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Hollins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.01	0.05	19	64%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	7	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Matt Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	18	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	13	62%	-0.03
Primoz Brezec	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	0.08	12	59%	-0.01	5	-0.11	3	67%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.03	0.03	12	79%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	18	72%	0.18	3	-0.03	11	91%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	7	72%	0.10	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	2.6	27.5	16.3	26.3	1.7	39.0	144.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +29.6%

ATL +5.3%

ATL +10.8%

ATL +1.0%

ATL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	15.4	117.2	127.2	105.7
season	15.8	15.4		103.1	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.1		107.2	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.7	16.9	15.5	13.6	15.7
ATL	13.3	13.7	18.0	17.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermareo Davidson	5	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-8	8	17.8	15.6	2.21	14.6	15.5	-0.87
Walter Herrmann	5	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-6	4	12.2	15.9	-3.71	12.0	15.6	-3.58
Primoz Brezec	9	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	-1	-6	16.9	15.6	1.31	14.2	15.6	-1.37
Jared Dudley	20	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-5	2	16.4	15.5	0.88	14.1	15.7	-1.65
Ryan Hollins	50	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-10	12	15.8	15.6	0.28	15.4	15.4	-0.04
Matt Carroll	39	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-9	10	16.2	15.3	0.90	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Jeff McInnis	55	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-6	4	14.7	17.1	-2.36	15.5	15.4	0.08
Gerald Wallace	80	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-4	0	15.9	14.8	1.09	15.5	14.8	0.69
Jason Richardson	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	15.5	16.3	-0.74	15.9	13.4	2.52
Raymond Felton	66	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	1	-10	15.4	16.5	-1.14	15.6	14.9	0.70
Emeka Okafor	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	2	-12	16.2	14.7	1.53	15.5	15.3	0.23

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	84	86	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	2	4	15.7	13.0	2.65	15.8	15.0	0.77
Josh Childress	66	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	4	0	15.3	15.7	-0.32	15.3	16.7	-1.31
Al Horford	64	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	7	-6	16.0	14.2	1.79	15.5	16.2	-0.67
Acie Law	44	44	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	-4	16	14.8	16.0	-1.16	16.3	15.2	1.11
Josh Smith	38	38	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-3	14	13.9	16.5	-2.61	16.0	15.5	0.45
Marvin Williams	72	72	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	9	-10	15.6	14.7	0.93	15.4	16.7	-1.30
Salim Stoudamire	15	15	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	4	0	17.3	15.1	2.28	15.5	15.7	-0.21
Tyronn Lue	40	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	10	-12	15.2	15.6	-0.31	15.6	15.8	-0.24
Zaza Pachulia	34	35	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	2	4	15.3	15.5	-0.16	16.2	15.4	0.74
Mario West	3	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	9	-10	16.7	15.4	1.28	19.0	15.6	3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, IND 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
BOS 91, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NJN 86, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%