NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	86		Excitement	4.0 [973]		MVP	Bryant Stith (BOS): +11.8%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	1.0 [994]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -11.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim McIlvaine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Soumaila Samake	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	8	65%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	9	45%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	8	35%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03
Stephon Marbury	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	17	47%	-0.05	3	-0.07	17	71%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.02	0.05	9	86%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.04	-0.06	20	46%	0.05	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	15	54%	0.01	4	-0.06	16	81%	0.03
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	55%	-0.00	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	4	10%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	3	31%	-0.09	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	35.0	2.4	28.7	15.5	27.3	2.4	28.4	139.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +23.1%

NJN -2.0%

BOS +22.6%

BOS +4.5%

BOS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.0	15.5	86.9	99.0	100.9
season	15.5	15.1		97.8	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.1		101.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.4	14.6	15.0	16.1	15.0
BOS	11.8	12.6	16.3	15.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	34	35	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-18	23	13.9	15.5	-1.69	16.1	12.8	3.27
Vladimir Stepania	17	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.07	1	-14	15	12.5	15.5	-3.01	13.4	14.1	-0.69
Evan Eschmeyer	10	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-12	11	11.6	15.3	-3.74	14.9	13.9	1.01
Sherman Douglas	45	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-15	17	15.6	14.4	1.13	14.2	13.8	0.42
Soumaila Samake	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.11	-9	-4	-5	14.3	15.0	-0.71	10.2	14.5	-4.25
Jim McIlvaine	27	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-10	7	16.0	14.6	1.48	14.3	13.9	0.40
Stephen Jackson	37	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	-2	-9	15.7	14.5	1.14	11.5	15.5	-4.02
Kenyon Martin	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	15.6	14.1	1.50	14.6	13.2	1.38
Aaron Williams	77	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-10	7	15.5	13.1	2.40	14.6	12.1	2.47
Johnny Newman	36	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-4	-5	14.7	15.1	-0.46	12.3	14.9	-2.63
Lucious Harris	66	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-3	-7	14.4	16.0	-1.61	14.2	13.6	0.56
Stephon Marbury	77	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	6	-25	15.0	14.7	0.36	14.2	13.3	0.95

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	93	92	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-3	19	13.7	17.6	-3.85	15.3	10.4	4.88
Paul Pierce	69	70	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	2	9	13.9	14.2	-0.25	15.1	14.6	0.53
Vitaly Potapenko	45	43	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	3	7	14.5	13.6	0.95	15.2	14.8	0.40
Bryant Stith	64	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	6	1	14.5	13.0	1.55	14.8	15.3	-0.54
Eric Williams	36	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	4	5	14.0	14.0	-0.03	14.8	15.1	-0.28
Kenny Anderson	28	28	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	4	5	14.1	14.0	0.11	14.4	15.2	-0.84
Randy Brown	32	31	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	7	-1	12.9	14.5	-1.59	16.1	14.4	1.70
Tony Battie	51	52	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	12	-11	13.9	14.1	-0.18	15.0	14.9	0.17
Adrian Griffin	28	26	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	16	-19	14.8	13.7	1.15	13.8	15.4	-1.61
Jerome Moiso	3	4	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	11	-9	10.3	14.1	-3.77	11.5	15.1	-3.61
Milt Palacio	41	40	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	15	-17	14.6	13.6	1.01	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Chris Carr	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	11.2	14.3	-3.10	15.7	14.9	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 88, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
WAS 93, MIL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIA 102, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%